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Lakers vs. Mavericks Betting Picks, Betting Odds & Predictions: Injuries Boosting Value on Dallas

Credit:

Ronald Martinez/Getty Images. Pictured: Luka Doncic (77) of the Dallas Mavericks.

  • The LA Lakers (30-7) are 2.5-point dogs on the road and will face the Dallas Mavericks (23-14) for the final time this season with the over/under set at 222.5.
  • Which side should you be betting in this Friday night NBA showdown (9:45 p.m. ET on ESPN)? Our experts analyze the updated odds and give their picks.

Lakers at Mavericks Picks, Betting Odds & Predictions

  • Spread: Mavericks -2.5
  • Over/Under: 223.5
  • Time: 9:45 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN

Odds as of Friday afternoon and via FanDuel, where Action Network users get a risk-free bet up to $500.


The Mavericks host the Lakers with both teams nursing some injuries to their stars. The Mavs are 2-4 in their past six games, including a loss to the Lakers in that span. Will they bounce back against LA tonight?

Our NBA crew previews how they are handicapping this matchup.

Betting Trend to Know

The Dallas Mavericks lead the league Offensive Rating (115.3) and are the most profitable team to the over this season (23-14).

If you dig a bit closer though, the Mavs haven’t been as much of a lock to hit the over as they seem recently. Since the beginning of December, when the total closes at 220 or higher — it’s currently 223.5 — the Mavericks are 3-6 to the over. A $100 bettor would have lost $311 during that span. — Malik Smith

 

Bryan Mears: This Spread Seems … Off

These teams just played on Dec. 29 and the Lakers, at home, closed as a five-point favorite. Let’s say home court is worth 2.5 points. That closing spread suggests the Lakers were 2.5 points better on a neutral court at the time, assuming the market is efficient.

Tonight the Mavs are two-point favorites at home, and if we use the same math it puts the Lakers at a half-point on a neutral court. What’s the difference for tonight’s game, and why the two-point swing?

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