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Bucks vs Magic Prediction, Pick, Odds for Wednesday, February 11

Bucks vs Magic Prediction, Pick, Odds for Wednesday, February 11 article feature image
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Pictured: Kevin Porter Jr. and Desmond Bane. (Credit: Imagn Images)

The Milwaukee Bucks (21-30) and Orlando Magic (28-24) will face off in the NBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 7:00 p.m. ET from the Kia Center in Orlando, Fla. The game will broadcast live on FDSWI.

The Magic are 10.5-point favorites over the Bucks on the spread (Magic -10.5), with the over/under set at 220.5 total points. Orlando is a -500 favorite to win outright on the moneyline, while Milwaukee is +375 to pull off the upset.

Let's get into my Bucks vs. Magic predictions and NBA picks for Wednesday, February 11.


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Bucks vs Magic Prediction, Picks

  • Bucks vs Magic pick: Under 220.5 (-110)

My Magic vs. Bucks best bet is on the under at 220.5 total points. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NBA odds page.


Bucks vs Magic Odds

Bucks Logo
Wednesday, Feb. 11
7 p.m. ET
FDSWI
Magic Logo
Bucks Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+10.5
-110
220.5
-110o / -110u
+375
Magic Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-10.5
-110
220.5
-110o / -110u
-500
Odds via bet365. Get up-to-the-minute NBA odds here.
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Bucks vs Magic NBA Preview

The Bucks and Magic just played against each other two days ago, a game in which we saw Orlando cruise to a dominant 118-99 victory.

We get these short-order rematches in the NBA sometimes. There’s another spot like this on today's slate between the Rockets and the Clippers, so this handicap can be applied there too if you want.

Repeat matchups tend to be under spots, and you’ll usually see the line dip a little — maybe one or two points.

There’s increased familiarity with defensive assignments. When you face a new team, you’re seeing new players and tendencies, and you are not as locked into the scouting report.

When you play the same team twice in a row, the defense has the advantage.


Bucks vs Magic Predictions, Betting Analysis

The total for this game should be a few points lower because of the rematch.

Sometimes you see big overreactions to Game 1 results that get overly priced into the next game.

But a one-game sample size should never meaningfully impact a line that’s priced with 45 games of data and a lot of sharp action behind it.

So, I see this as an under spot.

The only variable I can think of for why this total might go over — from a pregame line movement perspective — is Franz Wagner.

The question is: How much will Wagner play? When you look at the data from the last game. Franz played 17 minutes, but shot 6-for-10 from the field.

Even if Franz plays more in this game, I’d expect efficiency to dip even if usage increases, and that should net out roughly equal.

So, I like the under at 220.5 total points in Bucks vs. Magic tonight.

Pick: Under 220.5 (-110)

Playbook

Spread

I'm not betting either side of the spread in this game.

Moneyline

No play on the moneyline as well.

Over/Under

My Magic vs. Bucks betting prediction is on the under at 220.5 total points.


Magic vs Bucks Betting Trends


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