NBA Odds & Pick for Celtics vs. Bulls: Sharps, Betting Systems Agree on Monday’s Spread (Jan. 25)
Adam Glanzman/Getty Images. Pictured: Zach LaVine, Jaylen Brown
NBA Odds: Celtics vs. Bulls
|PRO Projection||BOS -3.4|
|Time||9 p.m. ET|
When tonight’s Celtics-Bulls line opened at Celtics -7, our NBA projection’s model was licking its chops.
As you might have noticed up top, our PRO Projection for this game is a much more gentle 3.4-point edge to the Celtics, which might explain why sharps have been hammering this line in that direction … as told by our PRO Report feature.
Let’s take a look.
Note: Odds, data as of 2 p.m. ET.
NBA Sharp Betting Pick: Celtics vs. Bulls
Sharps and big bettors, who are likely one and the same, have been taking the points since this line opened, bringing the Bulls from +7 (even +8 at the earliest books to market) to a consensus of +4.
As of writing, the Celtics are tied with the 76ers (-6.5 vs. Detroit) as the most popular spread bet of the day — attracting 71% of tickets hitting this spread. That, combined with the 3-point line move toward Chicago should serve as pretty much a dead giveaway of the sharp side.
Confirming that, two Bet Signals from Action Labs — triggered by instances of market movement caused specifically by sharp action — have revealed professional action hitting the Bulls at +7 and +6.
Sharp Action edge: Bulls
And while Chicago may be getting dominated in the betting-ticket department, the Bulls actually have the edge in the actual money distribution.
Their 27% backing has accounted for 54% of the money landing on tonight’s spread, and while that’s certainly not creating a major monetary liability, it does reveal Chicago to be landing much bigger bets — the ones more likely to come from sharps.
Big Money edge: Bulls
Historically speaking, following tonight’s sort of bet vs. money splits has been a profitable venture.
The Bulls’ significantly higher money than bet percentage fits them into our NBA Tickets vs. Money PRO System, which has covered the spread at a 55% rate on a sample of more than 600 games since 2015 (when we first began collecting money percentage data).
PRO Systems edge: Bulls