The New Orleans Pelicans (4-6) and Golden State Warriors (7-3) will face off in the NBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 10:00 p.m. ET from the Chase Center in San Francisco, California. The game will broadcast live on NBA TV.
The Warriors are 9.5-point favorites over the Pelicans on the spread, with the over/under set at 231.5 total points. The Warriors are 78-cent favorites to win outright, while the Pelicans are 23-cent underdogs to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Pelicans vs. Warriors predictions and NBA picks for Monday, November 9.
Pelicans vs Warriors Prediction
- Pelicans vs Warriors pick: Zion Williamson Over 5.5 Rebounds (45 cents, Polymarket)
My Pelicans vs. Warriors prediction is Zion Williamson to record over 5.5 rebounds, with the best price currently available at Polymarket. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NBA odds page.
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Pelicans vs Warriors Odds
Pelicans vs Warriors NBA Preview
New Orleans Pelicans Preview
The New Orleans Pelicans arrive in the Bay Area looking to steady the ship after dropping a 139-123 shootout against the LA Clippers.
Head coach Jamahl Mosley's squad enters at 4-6, placing them 11th in the Western Conference.
The Pelicans operate one of the league's most aggressive styles of play, ranking fourth in pace (101.4) and second in scoring with 120.5 points per game (115.3 Offensive Rating, 13th).
However, that fast tempo has exacerbated issues on the other end, where New Orleans allows 120.8 points per game (26th) on a 115.6 Defensive Rating (22nd).
Golden State Warriors Preview
The Golden State Warriors return to Chase Center with momentum, sitting fifth in the West at 7-3 following a 126-119 home victory over the Magic.
Steve Kerr's unit continues to boast elite offensive balance, posting a 118.5 Offensive Rating (fifth) and scoring 118.6 points per game (fifth) while operating at a controlled 98.0 pace (23rd).
Defensively, Golden State has held steady around league average, yielding 113.6 points per contest (15th) on a 113.5 Defensive Rating (14th).
With a +5.0 Net Rating (12th) and a strong 8.67 Simple Rating System mark (seventh), the Warriors enter Monday night playing structured, efficient basketball.
Pelicans vs Warriors Pick, Analysis
Action Network PRO Projections has Williamson slated for Over 5.5 Rebounds against Golden State, showing a significant 14.8% edge on the current line.
Williamson has logged at least 30 minutes in all 10 appearances this season, averaging 33.1 minutes per contest — and that amount of playing time under Mosley usually paves the way for plenty of rebounding opportunities regardless of game script.
While Williamson sits at 5.3 total rebounds per game over the full 10-game sample, his activity on the boards has ticked upward, clearing 5.5 rebounds in four of his last six games (posting 6, 6, 11, 4, 8, and 4 rebounds).
Williamson has collected 16 offensive rebounds this season (1.6 per game), giving him multiple pathways to reach the six-rebound threshold even when defensive rebounding opportunities are contested.
While Golden State ranks in the bottom-third in pace (98.0), the Pelicans' fourth-ranked tempo (101.4) consistently forces high shot volume on both ends of the floor, creating the rebound volume necessary for Williamson to surpass this line.
Pick: Zion Williamson Over 5.5 Rebounds (45 cents, Polymarket)
