The San Antonio Spurs (8-2) and Phoenix Suns (3-5) will clash in the NBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 9:00 p.m. ET from the Mortgage Matchup Center in Phoenix, Arizona. The game will broadcast live on DAZN-SAS.
The Spurs are 9.5-point favorites over the Suns on the spread, with the over/under set at 228.5 total points. The Spurs are -370 moneyline favorites to win outright, while the Suns are listed as +295 underdogs to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Spurs vs. Suns predictions and NBA picks for Monday, November 9.
Spurs vs Suns Prediction
- Spurs vs Suns pick: Over 228.5 (-105)
My Spurs vs. Suns best bet is the total to go over 228.5 points, with the best price currently available at FanDuel. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NBA odds page.
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Spurs vs Suns Odds
- Spurs vs Suns spread: Spurs -9.5 (-102), Suns +9.5 (-120)
- Spurs vs Suns over/under: 228.5 (-105o / -115u)
- Spurs vs Suns moneyline: Spurs -370, Suns +295
Spurs vs Suns NBA Preview
San Antonio Spurs Betting Preview
The Spurs present distinct defensive problems for most opponents, anchored by Victor Wembanyama's presence in the paint. However, those strengths will be far less impactful in this specific matchup.
The Suns have no intention of going inside and allowing Wembanyama to deter their offense. Instead, the Spurs will be forced to defend a high-volume, perimeter-oriented attack that relies on drawing bigs away from the basket.
Phoenix Suns Betting Preview
The Suns offense is perfectly built to attack San Antonio. They play a four-out or five-out system, recently moving Oso Ighodaro into the starting lineup. They surround one high-screen setter with four shooters on the perimeter, bypassing the interior traffic.
Defensively, however, the Suns remain a liability. The decision to insert Jalen Green into the starting lineup alongside Devin Booker and Mikal Bridges gives Phoenix three problem defenders on the floor at once.
The Suns downgraded their perimeter defense compared to last year in exchange for better transition athleticism and pace, resulting in a defensive unit that consistently bleeds points.
Spurs vs Suns Pick, Betting Analysis
Based on my models and rating systems, this number should be closer to 230 or higher. The market hasn't fully caught up to how bad this Phoenix defense is right now.
The Suns' defensive issues are glaring, and their offensive scheme is tailor-made to avoid Wembanyama and generate three-point looks.
This is a pace-up, perimeter-heavy spot that should sail over the posted total. I'm taking the over at 228.5 points.
Pick: Over 228.5 (-105, FanDuel)
