We have another excellent slate on tap in the NBA today, and the prop market is full of value waiting to be exploited.
Our Action Network staff has combed through the matchups, rotations, and defensive schemes to find the best angles on the board.
Continue below for our NBA player props for Monday, November 9.
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NBA Player Props for Monday, November 9
| Time (ET) | Player Prop |
|---|---|
| 7 p.m. | |
| 8:30 p.m. | |
| 9 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NBA Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | |
Lakers vs. Hawks
Luka Doncic Over 34.5 Points (-105)
By Joe Dellera
The Lakers are grinding through the second game of a back-to-back, but Luka Doncic sat out yesterday's contest for some routine maintenance. He is expected to play tonight, meaning he steps onto the floor with fresh legs while the rest of the rotation battles fatigue.
I understand the hesitation when looking at a number this high. A line set at 34.5 continues to feel a bit outrageous for a standard points prop. But when you are dealing with a player who is currently averaging over 40 points per game, it begs the question of whether the betting market has even adjusted enough to capture his true nightly ceiling.
On paper, this matchup against the Hawks can present some difficult spots defensively, but the overall game environment negates those concerns. Atlanta plats at the second-fastest pace in the entire league, which inherently generates extra possessions, creates transition mismatches, and really opens things up for Doncic to operate in space.
With the Lakers on a back-to-back, they will be heavily reliant on Luka's on-ball creation to bypass their own tired legs.
Doncic has cleared this 34.5 threshold in seven straight games, and he has dropped 40 or more points in six of those contests. I'll back Luka to score over 34.5 points tonight.
Pick: Luka Doncic Over 34.5 Points (-105)
If you want more picks for this game, read our full Lakers vs Hawks betting preview!
Nuggets vs. Rockets
Jamal Murray Over 2.5 Three-Pointers Made (-130)
Jamal Murray has actually gone under this number in his last two outings, shooting 2-for-6 against the Pacers and 2-for-5 against the Raptors, but I am not letting that recent small-sample variance deter me.
Prior to those two games, Murray had cleared this 2.5 line in five consecutive contests. If you toss out the weird season opener where he only attempted a single three-pointer, his volume has been fantastic.
Murray is actively hunting the pull-up jumper, averaging between eight and nine three-point attempts per game with 63 total attempts on the year.
The Denver offense genuinely needs him to take those high-quality looks from beyond the arc to maintain their spacing and consistency.
I am well aware that the Rockets currently rank third in overall three-point defense, but there is an underlying metric that points to opportunity: they also allow the 10th-most three-point attempts per 100 possessions in the league.
The Rockets are giving up 39 outside shots per night, and while a few of those might be late-clock grenades, volume is volume.
If Murray is consistently getting eight looks from deep, converting three of them is a probable outcome for a shooter of his caliber.
Pick: Jamal Murray Over 2.5 Three-Pointers Made (-130)
If you want more picks for this game, read our full Nuggets vs Rockets betting preview!
Spurs vs. Suns
Dylan Harper Over 16.5 Points (-105)
Dylan Harper has been remarkably consistent, only shooting a single-digit amount of times in a game once this entire season. His baseline usage has been steady, averaging around 14 field goal attempts per game.
The Spurs desperately need what Harper provides in terms of explosive driving and applying rim pressure. While he isn't shooting a ton from three-point range, he excels at getting to his spots and finishing through contact in the paint, currently shooting an efficient 50 percent from the field.
Harper is also cashing in on his free throw opportunities, shooting 89 percent from the charity stripe while getting there between three and four times a night — and he gets a fantastic matchup here against a Suns team that currently ranks as the fourth-worst defense in the league.
Phoenix's frontcourt simply does not know what it is doing defensively yet; Khaman Maluach is very raw, missing assignments, and looking exactly like the young project center he was drafted to be.
Harper is going to attack those downhill driving lanes, take advantage of the defensive lapses, and consistently get himself to the free-throw line — and if he manages to hit a shot from distance, that is just an added bonus.
With his consistent volume of 13 to 15 shots a night and Phoenix's inability to rotate defensively, I'll back Harper to score over 16.5 points tonight.
Pick: Dylan Harper Over 16.5 Points (-105)
If you want more picks for this game, read our full Spurs vs Suns betting preview!
