The Oklahoma City Thunder (44-14) and Toronto Raptors (34-23) will face off in the NBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET from Scotiabank Arena in Toronto. The game will be broadcast live on FDSOK.
The Raptors are 1-point favorites over the Thunder on the spread (Raptors -1), with the over/under set at 218.5 total points. Toronto is a -115 favorite to win outright on the moneyline, while Oklahoma City is -105 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Thunder vs. Raptors predictions and NBA picks for Tuesday, February 24.
Thunder vs Raptors Prediction
- Thunder vs Raptors pick: Chet Holmgren Under 17.5 Points (-120)
My Raptors vs. Thunder best bet is on Chet Holmgren to score under 17.5 points. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NBA odds page.
Thunder vs Raptors Odds
| Thunder Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1 -110 | 218.5 -110o / -110u | -105 |
| Raptors Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1 -110 | 218.5 -110o / -110u | -115 |
Thunder vs Raptors NBA Preview
My best bet in tonight's matchup is Chet Holmgren under 17.5 points. I bet this the other day, and I’m going to keep betting it.
Holmgren is questionable for the Thunder in this game. So, we’ll see if he goes.
However, this line still feels inflated, even with the Thunder still missing Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Jalen Williams.
The expectation is that Holmgren naturally sees a big uptick in usage and scoring in their absence, but we’re just not really seeing it.
Over the full season, he’s averaging 17.4 points per game.
In games without SGA and Williams, he’s stayed under this number in every outing (4 for 4), averaging 16.3 points per game.
There just hasn’t been a meaningful increase in his opportunity. He’s actually averaging fewer shots — about 10.5 per game in this split versus 11.5 on the season.
So, the anticipated usage bump simply hasn’t materialized.
Thunder vs Raptors Predictions, Analysis
Part of the reason why we haven't seen noticeable upticks from Holmgren is the Thunder's shot distribution as of late.
We’re seeing more attempts from Jared McCain, additional volume from Aaron Wiggins, and Isaiah Hartenstein is back in the mix.
Because of that, Holmgren just isn’t getting the kind of offensive expansion you’d expect with those key absences.
Tonight's matchup against the Raptors should be reasonably competitive — especially compared to recent spots against teams like the Nets or Bucks.
Still, this number looks a bit too high based on what he’s actually done this season, and the lack of a true usage spike in the absence of Shai and Williams.
Pick: Chet Holmgren Under 17.5 Points (-120)
Spread
I'm not betting either side of the spread in tonight's game.
Moneyline
No play on the moneyline as well.
Over/Under
My Raptors vs Thunder betting prediction is on Chet Holmgren to score under 17.5 points.
Raptors vs Thunder Betting Trends
