The Phoenix Suns (37-27) and Milwaukee Bucks (27-36) will face off in the NBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 8:00 p.m. ET from Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. The game will broadcast live on FDSWI.
The Suns are 1.5-point favorites over the Bucks on the spread (Suns -1.5), with the over/under set at 217.5 total points. Miami is a -125 favorite to win outright on the moneyline, while Milwaukee is +105 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Suns vs. Bucks predictions and NBA picks for Tuesday, March 10.
Suns vs Bucks Prediction, Picks
- Suns vs Bucks picks: Suns -1.5 (-110), Over 217.5 (-110)
My Bucks vs. Suns best bets are on Phoenix to cover the spread and Over 217.5 total points. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NBA odds page.
Suns vs Bucks Odds
| Suns Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -110 | 217.5 -110o / -110u | -125 |
| Bucks Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -110 | 217.5 -110o / -110u | +105 |
Suns vs Bucks NBA Preview
No Dillon Brooks nor Mark Williams for the Suns tonight.
Phoenix is 3-5 SU and ATS without Williams this season; and 7-7 SU and ATS without Brooks.
This game is fishy, and I’m probably walking into a trap — but sometimes, that's just what you have to do in order to find value.
The market rating on the spread for this game is Suns -3 with a standard 2.5-point edge for homecourt. I make it Suns-3.5.
Phoenix is the 5th-best road team ATS, Milwaukee is 22nd at home.
Some trends:
- Jordan Ott is 16-11 ATS in games with tight spreads under four points (one possession).
- Phoenix is 17-11 ATS against teams with a below-.500 ATS record.
- The Bucks are 14-23 ATS against teams with a better record than theirs.
The Bucks give up a high number of three-pointers, and any boost to Phoenix’s offense helps them a lot.
The Suns are 32-10 ATS this season when they score over 110 points. Milwaukee surrenders 115.8 on average.
Suns vs Bucks Predictions, Betting Analysis
Suns -1.5
The Bucks can shoot, that’s their strength, but Phoenix forces a lot of turnovers and has the size and versatility to match up with both Giannis Antetokounmpo and Milwaukee's guards.
The Suns struggle at rebounding, and they foul too much.
Never fear, because Milwaukee ranks bottom-five in offensive rebounds and free-throw rate.
Phoenix may not exactly roll here, but the Suns should get the win and cover the spread.
Over 217.5
The market is moving this south, so you’ll still get a good number if you don’t want to chase the steam.
I make the total for this game 226, and with both Giannis and Devin Booker available, there’s no reason to think this will be a defensive battle.
The Bucks will hit shots despite decent defense from the Suns, but Phoenix should carve them up.
The Over is 11-8 when the Bucks are home 'dogs because the opponent averages 117 points per game.
I project Phoenix below this at 113, but that’s still just five points away from the Over.
Even with a slow pace, the combination of Milwaukee’s shooting and porous defense makes this an Over play.
Suns vs Bucks Best Bets
- Suns -1.5 (-110)
- Over 217.5 (-110)
Spread
My first Bucks vs. Suns betting prediction is on Phoenix to cover the spread (-1.5).
Moneyline
I'm targeting the Suns -1.5 instead of taking the juice on the moneyline in this spot.
Over/Under
I will also be betting the Over at 217.5 total points tonight.
