The Sacramento Kings (12-36) and Philadelphia 76ers (25-21) will face off in the NBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 7:00 p.m. ET from Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia, Pa. The game will be broadcast live on NBCS-PH.
The 76ers are 11.5-point favorites over the Kings on the spread (76ers -11.5), with the over/under set at 229.5 total points. Philadelphia is a -550 favorite to win outright on the moneyline, while Sacramento is +400 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Kings vs. 76ers predictions and NBA picks for Thursday, January 29.
Kings vs 76ers Prediction, Picks
- Kings vs 76ers pick: Kings +11.5 (-110)
My 76ers vs Kings best bet is on Sacramento to cover the spread at +11.5, but make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NBA odds page.
Kings vs 76ers Odds
| Kings Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+11.5 -110 | 229.5 -110o / -110u | +400 |
| 76ers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-11.5 -110 | 229.5 -110o / -110u | -550 |
Kings vs 76ers NBA Preview
The 76ers are coming off an impressive 139-122 win over the Bucks, a game in which Paul George tied a franchise record with nine made 3-pointers and finished with 32 points.
That outburst was especially notable considering he had hit just seven total triples across his previous six games.
Joel Embiid added 29 points and nine rebounds, while Tyrese Maxey chipped in 22 points and nine assists as the Sixers shot a scorching 52.4% from beyond the arc.
The performance of reserve guard Jared McCain was another encouraging sign. The second-year player has struggled at times this season, but he delivered one of his best games of 2025-26 with 17 points on 6-of-8 shooting.
With Quentin Grimes dealing with an ankle injury and potentially sidelined again, McCain could see an expanded role.
Sacramento, meanwhile, arrives in Philadelphia in the middle of a difficult stretch.
The Kings have dropped six straight games and have been one of the league’s weakest road teams all season, sitting at just 3-20 away from home. Their latest loss came Tuesday against the Knicks, a 103-87 defeat despite a 34-point effort from DeMar DeRozan.
Kings vs 76ers Predictions, Betting Analysis
This will be the first meeting between these teams this season after splitting two matchups a year ago, and on paper, the matchup strongly favors a Philadelphia team that appears to be gaining momentum at home.
But this spot sets up well for Sacramento when viewed through our “Road 'Dogs Off ATS Loss” system.
The Kings fit the profile of a visiting underdog coming off a failure to cover the spread, a situation that often produces a sharper, more focused effort.
Teams in this position tend to tighten up defensively and play with added urgency, particularly when the market is heavily influenced by a recent blowout win from the home side.
Philadelphia is coming off a dominant performance fueled by unsustainably hot shooting, which can lead to inflated expectations and a spread that stretches beyond the true gap between these teams.
Sacramento’s recent struggles, especially on the road, only add to the perception imbalance that this system looks to exploit.
With a large number like +11.5, the Kings don’t need to win outright, just remain competitive.
In a classic bounce-back spot for a road underdog facing a potentially overvalued favorite, the value lies with Sacramento keeping this game closer than the market expects.
Pick: Kings +11.5 (-110)
Spread
My Kings vs. 76ers betting prediction is on Sacramento to cover the spread at +11.5.
Moneyline
I'm targeting the spread instead of the moneyline in this spot.
Over/Under
No play on the total.
76ers vs Kings Betting Trends
