College Basketball Championship Sunday Betting Cheat Sheet: Odds, Picks, Trends

College Basketball Championship Sunday Betting Cheat Sheet: Odds, Picks, Trends article feature image

Jim Brown-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Grant Williams

The NCAA Tournament Selection Show looms on Sunday night, but before then, there’s some great basketball still to be played.

The final six conference champions will be decided starting with the Ivy League at 12 p.m. ET, and ending with the Big Ten about five hours later.

Below we’ve compiled some interesting nuggets from our game previews, with a link to each full version below.

College Basketball Betting Odds, Picks for Sunday

Ivy League: Yale-Harvard

  • Spread: Yale -4.5
  • Over/Under: 144
  • Time: 12 p.m. ET
  • TV: ESPN2

>> All odds as of 7 a.m. ET. Download The Action Network App to get real-time odds and live win probabilities on your bets.

Yale surprisingly struggled against a short-handed Princeton team it just beat by 22 points last Saturday. The Bulldogs allowed 43 second-half points to a Tigers team playing without its leading scorer.

This will be a problem against a Harvard team that scored 88 points in its road win at Yale on Feb. 23. Guard Bryce Aiken (21.8 ppg) scored 28 points, went 3 of 6 from 3P, and shot 13 of 15 from the foul line. The Crimson won that game without defensive stopper Justin Bassey, who missed the game due to injury but has since returned. — Mike Randle

SEC: Auburn-Tennessee

  • Spread: Tennessee -5
  • Total: 145.5
  • Time: 1 p.m. ET
  • TV: ESPN

These are the top two in the SEC in effective field goal percentage, but I trust Auburn’s pressure defense to be a difference-maker in covering the spread. In their previous meeting on March 9, Auburn was the beneficiary of 13 Tennessee turnovers. The Tigers came back from a six-point halftime deficit to win the game, 84-80, against the Vols.

It’s not unprecedented for the SEC Tournament champion to win four games in four days — 2000 Arkansas, 2008 Georgia and 2009 Mississippi State all did it. — Collin Wilson

Atlantic 10: Saint Louis-St. Bonaventure

  • Spread: St. Bonaventure -1
  • Over/Under: 119.5
  • Time: 1 p.m. ET
  • TV: CBS

Saint Louis is accustomed to being the best defensive team on the floor, but St. Bonaventure has been their equal since conference play began. On offense, the Bonnies are substantially better and have been the hotter team over the past month. — Mike Randle

Sun Belt: UT Arlington-Georgia State

  • Spread: Georgia State -4
  • Total: 138
  • Time: 2 p.m. ET
  • TV: ESPN2

Georgia State will continue to rely on its offensive strengths. The Panthers are first in the Sun Belt in effective field goal percentage, 3-point percentage and steals. Those numbers trump UT Arlington’s struggle at 10th in effective field goal percentage.

GSU takes a ton of 3s and though it rarely uses its bench, tired legs won’t be a factor in this game since it received a bye straight to the semifinals.

One area of concern when backing Georgia State is two important categories for me — offensive rebounds and free throw percentage. It is not enough that the Panthers are worst in the Sun Belt in those areas — nationally, Georgia State ranks 310th in offensive rebounds, 337th in opponent offensive rebounds and 328th in free throws. — Collin Wilson

AAC: Cincinnati-Houston

  • Spread: Houston -4
  • Over/Under: 129.5
  • Time: 3:15 p.m. ET
  • TV: ESPN

With a trio of ball handlers (Corey Davis, Galen Robinson, Dejon Jarreau) to create their offense from behind the arc, Houston has combined to amass a 43.2% 3-point clip in their two affairs with the Bearcats. Look for that success to continue in Memphis.

Houston has even racked up the 21st-highest offensive rebounding rate, producing additional second-chance opportunities from distance. That’ll come into play once again, as Cincinnati owns a below-average 29.0% defensive rebounding clip. — Eli Hershkovich

Big Ten: Michigan-Michigan State

  • Spread: Michigan State -1.5
  • Over/Under: 134.5
  • Time: 3:30 p.m. ET
  • TV: CBS

Michigan State point guard Cassius Winston has dominated Michigan point guard Zavier Simpson this season, but look for his injuries to give Simpson — an elite on-ball defender — the advantage in his team’s pick-and-roll defense. Winston’s attack off the dribble looked sluggish on Saturday as well.

The 6-foot-6 wing Charles Matthews, who missed their latest matchup with his own ankle injury, will also provide a much-needed enforcer to limit MSU’s ball penetration. — Eli Hershkovich

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