Texas Tech-Duke Betting Preview: Can the Red Raiders Slow Down the Blue Devils?

Dec 20, 2018 04:50 PM EST

Rob Kinnan-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: R.J. Barrett, Zion Williamson

  • No. 2 Duke hosts No. 12 Texas Tech on Thursday night (7 p.m. ET on ESPN2).
  • Eli Herskovich breaks down the matchup and makes a pick.

So much for preseason polls. Texas Tech was projected to finish seventh in the Big 12 standings, and while its conference slate has yet to begin, the Red Raiders find themselves at 10-0 with a matchup against 10-1 Duke looming.

Which side presents more value in the Ameritas Insurance Classic at Madison Square Garden? Let’s dissect the matchup.

>> All odds as of Wednesday night. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NCAAB odds and track your bets.

Texas Tech Red Raiders at Duke Blue Devils

  • Spread: Duke -8
  • Over/under: 146
  • Tip: 7 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: ESPN2

The Blue Devils (7-4 against the spread) haven’t faced a team with a top-10 Adjusted Defensive Efficiency this season, and the Red Raiders (5-5 ATS) have yet to play an opponent with a top-10 Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. Both trends will change with Texas Tech owning the first-rated AdjD while Duke showcases the second-ranked AdjO.

Between the broader numbers, the most prominent factor will be pace. Chris Beard’s unit boasts the 91st-lowest in Adjusted Tempo, in large part because it grinds out opponents’ offenses to the tune of a 18.5-second average possession length.


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