College Basketball Odds & Pick for Creighton vs. St. John’s: Sharp Action Moving This Big East Spread (Thursday, Dec. 17)
Porter Binks/Getty Images. Pictured: Justin Champagnie
Creighton vs. St. John’s Odds
|St. John’s Odds||+6.5|
|Time||7 p.m. ET|
This morning I touched on how early action from sharp bettors was landing on tonight’s Creighton-St. John’s over. And well, that sure changed quickly.
After reaching its high-water mark of 161.5, the total was sent the opposite direction thanks to some sharp buyback. And now that the total seems to have settled in the upper-150s, the pros have turned their attention to the spread.
Our PRO Report details the side drawing sharp action, as well as a historically profitable system in agreement.
Note: Odds, data as of 3:30 p.m. ET.
College Basketball Picks: Creighton vs. St. John’s
Most bettors are rolling with the ninth-ranked team in the country, but sharps have been seeing this game differently.
An open-to-current line move of 5.5 to 6.5 might suggest sharp action on the favorite, but in this case that move doesn’t tell the whole story. That’s because it wasn’t until the line reached 7.5 that sharps really made their move.
Five Sports Insights Bet Signals have been triggered on St. John’s at lines of +7 or more, indicating five separate instances of market-wide movement caused by sharp action, and explaining why this line has changed course despite two-third of bettors (66% as of writing, to be exact) siding with Creighton.
Sharp Action angle: St. John’s
Aside from the sharp action, there’s reason to believe that St. John’s could be undervalued this evening, historically speaking.
Having struggled against the spread, and going up against a team that hasn’t, St. John’s is a match for our Poor ATS vs. Good ATS Teams PRO System, which has returned a 55% win rate on a sample of more than 3,000 games since 2005.
PRO Systems edge: St. John’s