Indiana vs Maryland Odds, Picks: Target This Total in College Park
Photo by Justin Casterline/Getty Images. Pictured: Jalen Hood-Schifino (Indiana)
Indiana vs Maryland Odds
-104o / -118u
-104o / -118u
Indiana sits in a tie for third place in the Big Ten standings at 6-4, while the Terrapins are just one game back at 5-5.
Mike Woodson and the Hoosiers have been on fire, winning their last five games in the Big Ten, with four of the five wins coming by double digits.
Similarly, Maryland has won three of its last four, with its only loss coming to Purdue by three points on the road.
To find out which team will continue their hot-streak, let's take a look at the odds and make a prediction for Indiana vs. Maryland.
The Hoosiers have completely turned their Big Ten season around after starting conference play with three straight losses to Iowa, Northwestern and Penn State.
Since this start, the Hoosiers have been effective at both ends of the floor, resulting in their second-longest winning streak of the season.
During this winning streak, Indiana has held its opponents to just 61.2 points per game through its ability to protect the rim.
The Hoosiers have a block percentage of 15.4%, the seventh-highest rate in the country.
This ability to defend the interior can be attributed to the play of All-American Trayce Jackson-Davis, who boasts 3.2 blocks per game.
Trayce Jackson-Davis almost looks bored on this block. Like an older brother rolling his eyes at his younger brother who think he ever had a chance. pic.twitter.com/jvBaGzI3q4
— Tyler Metcalf (@tmetcalf11) January 26, 2023
This defense has put Indiana on another level given the consistency it has produced on the offensive end. The Hoosiers rank 16th nationally in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency through their ability to create high-percentage close-range shots.
These high-percentage shots result in Indiana scoring 58.9% of its points on the interior, the 19th-highest rate in the country.
This offensive tendency will be crucial against a Maryland team struggling to prevent penetration this season. The Terps are allowing teams to score 56.4% of their points from 2-point range the 26th-highest rate in the country.
Overall, I expect Indiana to keep rolling on the offensive end.
Kevin Willard and Maryland have had an up and down Big Ten season, resulting in a 5-5 overall record.
The one consistency for the Terrapins has been their ability to execute on their home floor, as all five of their wins in conference have come in College Park.
Much of the success Maryland has been able to produce at home has come on the offensive end. In its five home Big Ten victories, Maryland is averaging 74 points per game, three points higher than its season average.
Although Indiana's defense has been trending in the right direction, Maryland will have the personnel to be successful on Tuesday night. The Terrapins rank 64th nationally in average height, rivaling the Hoosiers' ranking of 23rd in the same category.
This frontcourt size has allowed for Maryland to score 52.3% of its points on the interior, which is above the national average. This paint presence will be crucial against a Hoosiers defense giving up the majority of its points from this range (50.3%).
Look for Maryland to rely on its offense to make up for its shortcomings on the defensive end.
Indiana vs. Maryland Betting Pick
For Maryland to be able to keep up with an Indiana offense averaging 78.6 points per game, it will need to try and match the Hoosiers on the offensive end.
This offensive success will continue for Jackson-Davis and Indiana. Maryland is giving up 56.4% of its points on the interior, an area the Hoosiers have keyed in on to score 58.9% of their points.
Luckily for the Terrapins, they have been at their best offensively on their home floor, boasting a 10-3 overall record while scoring 74 points per game.
Even given these offensive tendencies, the market is moving this total in favor of the under, seeing it drop from 141.5 to 139.5 at the time of writing.
Given this steam, I believe there will be a great buy-back opportunity on the over in a matchup between two competent offenses.
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