LSU vs Missouri Odds, Picks: Home Team to Roll to Victory
Photo by Jay Biggerstaff/Getty Images. Pictured: Dennis Gates (Missouri)
LSU vs. Missouri Odds
-110o / -110u
-110o / -110u
The LSU Tigers have crashed and burned over the last month. In fact, they haven’t won a game since Dec. 28.
They have been buried by the best of the SEC, and this matchup is no break, as the Missouri Tigers have been one of the conference’s biggest surprises.
While Mizzou’s momentum edge is clear, it’s amplified given it just took down 12th-ranked Iowa State Cyclones.
So, can LSU pick itself up off the deck, or will Missouri prove it’s the top cats of the SEC?
Let’s dive in to find out and uncover the best bet for this matchup.
LSU’s recent stretch of games has been shocking, to say the least. Its level of play has dissipated on both ends of the court.
To put it into perspective in terms of efficiency, LSU’s last good offensive performance came against Kentucky on Jan. 3. The Tigers posted an offensive efficiency rating of 119 in that game.
However, in seven games since then, they have only posted an offensive efficiency rating of over 100 just once.
That did come in their last game against Texas Tech, though.
Before you say the tide has turned for them, consider that the Red Raiders have become one of the worst teams in the Big 12 and were still victorious in that particular game.
Looking at this matchup against Missouri, LSU does not have the perimeter shooting to take advantage of its opponent’s weaknesses. LSU is a team that likes to work the ball inside, and that is not a recipe for success against Missouri.
Haslametrics’ projections have LSU slated to shoot a combined 7.8% below the D-I average from 2-point range. That is with an uptick in 3-pointers factored in.
Just like it had been quite a while since we have seen LSU put up a good offensive performance, the same can be said for its play on the defensive end of the floor.
That is not a trend you want to take against this Missouri team.
The host Tigers have been phenomenal this year as they enter this game third in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency.
Missouri will likely convert shots at will, as it’s a team that is not afraid to pull up from deep. The Tigers also have the ultra-talented Kobe Brown, who has shown he can finish around the rim with the best of them.
The final factor for Missouri offensively is the extra possession that it will likely have in this matchup.
A big key to its success has been turning defense into offense, and it certainly helps that Missouri is fifth in defensive turnover rate, and LSU is 243rd in that category offensively.
LSU vs. Missouri Betting Pick
We have seen early movement toward LSU in this matchup, and it’s understandable, as this is the ultimate buy-low for the visiting Tigers.
The numbers say otherwise.
Missouri will be too much for LSU to handle offensively, and the Tigers of Baton Rouge are just not equipped to punch back.
Of course, it also doesn’t help that this game is taking place in Mizzou Arena, where the hometown Tigers are 12-1 on the year.
Back Mizzou to roll at home once again.
Pick: Missouri -10.5 or Better
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