We're getting to the end of the road.
Several mid-major NCAA Tournament tickets will be punched today, while the first of the Power Five Conference Tournaments kicks off today.
Our staff of experts has picks for a game in the ACC Tournament, alongside two Conference Championship Game best bets.
Read on for our College Basketball Picks and NCAA Best Bets for Tuesday, March 10.
College Basketball Picks
The team logos in the table below represent each of the matchups that our college basketball betting staff is targeting from today's slate of games. Click on the team logos for any of the matchups below to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
  | 4:30 PM | |
  | 7 PM | |
  | 9 PM | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NCAAB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Syracuse vs. SMU Pick
By Evan Abrams
This game triggered one of our Action PRO betting systems:
The “Good Team, Conference, Small Favorite, Both Teams Bad ATS” system identifies undervalued favorites in NCAAB who win consistently but have struggled against the spread, facing opponents with similar ATS struggles.
In conference play, where matchups are familiar and motivation runs high, the better overall team often prevails despite market skepticism stemming from prior spread losses.
When a strong team sits as a small favorite, it suggests the line has tightened due to mutual ATS underperformance rather than true competitive balance.
This system capitalizes on that overcorrection, backing reliable programs that win outright at a steady rate when the market perception has dipped too far, turning short favorites into profitable plays.
Want more Action PRO Systems? Download the Action Network App!
Pick: SMU -5 or Better
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Monmouth vs. Hofstra CAA Championship Game Prediction
By Sean Paul
I like the Under.
Monmouth is a faster-tempo team than Hofstra, but 198th in adjusted tempo isn't exactly an Alabama pace.
The lack of interior scoring will be worth watching here.
Monmouth shoots 46% on 2s, and Hofstra shoots 48%. Plus, both are terrific at defending inside the arc.
That'll lead to a load of 3s, and if the shots don't fall, this is begging to be an under.
Check out Sean's full CAA Championship Game breakdown here:
Pick: Under 134 or Better
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Siena vs. Merrimack MAAC Championship Game Best Bet
Merrimack is the best team in the MAAC, but Siena — the pre-season favorite — took the Warriors to the brink in both regular-season head-to-head meetings. Merrimack won by four on the road and won in overtime at home just a few weeks ago.
The Saints don’t profile as a team that can easily crack Joe Gallo’s aggressive zone, especially because they’re so reliant on Justice Shoats ball-screen and dribble creation. However, they were just one of two MAAC teams to break the one-PPP threshold in both meetings with Merrimack.
That fact becomes more surprising when you consider that Siena shot just 9-for-36 (25%) from 3 across the two meetings. Meanwhile, Merrimack shot a ridiculous 20-for-45 (44%) from beyond the arc.
If Brendan Coyle and Gavin Doty can make a few more triples while the Warriors miss a few extra, I see the script flipping in this third meeting. For what it’s worth, ShotQuality graded both games as Siena wins (75-70 and 72-64) based on the “quality” of shots taken by both teams.
Regardless, I project Merrimack as just a half-point favorite in the MAAC Championship game, so I’m willing to play Siena at +3.5 or better, representing a minimum three-point difference between my projection and the market.
Check out all of Tanner's CBB projections for Tuesday here:
Pick: Siena +3.5 or Better
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