Monday College Basketball Betting Picks: Kent State-Eastern Michigan, Wisconsin Green Bay-Northern KentuckyOffering Spread Value
Timothy T Ludwig/Getty Images. Pictured: Antonio Williams #4 of the Kent State Golden Flashes
- Conference tournament season is in full effect and there's plenty of betting value all over the slate.
- John Ewing uses our Bet Labs database to find useful betting trend for tonight's games including Wisconsin Green Bay-Northern Kentucky and Kent State-Eastern Michigan.
- See his picks below.
Historically, public bettors tend to wager on teams that have been covering the spread and fade those that haven’t. It’s basic human nature to believe that something will continue to happen because it has in the past.
In fact, according to Bet Labs, teams that have covered at least three of their past five games have received a majority of spread tickets in 66.1% of regular season games when facing an opponent that has covered one or fewer of its past five.
Oddsmakers understand these tendencies and shade their lines to force square bettors to take bad numbers as a result. In postseason play, however, the team with strong recent against-the-spread (ATS) form receives a majority of bets in only 54.1% of games.
Why the change?