Duke vs. Clemson College Basketball Pick: Sharps Betting Double-Digit Spread

Duke vs. Clemson College Basketball Pick: Sharps Betting Double-Digit Spread article feature image

Pictured: Duke Blue Devils head coach Mike Krzyzewski. (Photo by Rich von Biberstein/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)

  • Smart money is hitting tonight's Duke vs. Clemson (7 p.m. ET, ESPN) college basketball game.
  • Using The Action Network's betting tools, we analyze how sharp bettors are playing this ACC matchup.

Last night did not go as planned for Clemson fans, but not to worry. Tonight offers a chance to take down one of college basketball’s most hated schools.

But, let’s be honest here … tonight will likely also be disappointing.

Duke is the No. 3 team in the nation and Clemson is 2-3 in ACC play. With that in mind, the Blue Devils opened as double-digit road favorites tonight.

The spread has seen some significant sharp action. With college football over and college hoops now at the forefront, we’re going to see more casual bettors betting on basketball, which means more opportunities for sharps to take advantage.

Odds as of Tuesday at 10:30 a.m. ET and via FanDuel, where Action Network users get a risk-free bet up to $500.

What better spot than a nationally televised game the night after the college football National Championship game?

Duke vs. Clemson College Basketball Sharp Betting Pick

Not surprisingly, Duke is getting 81% of the bets despite being such a large favorite. Much like the Yankees or Lakers, Duke is an extremely popular team nationwide and is going to get more public love than most other schools.

This often leads to shaded or inflated lines that are off what the line should really be. That’s where the sharps come in.

After opening at +11, pro bettors took a chance on Clemson. We’ve tracked two Bet Signals on the Orange (one at +11 and one at +10.5), which has caused the line to dip down to +10, and even +9.5 at some books.

If we check the college basketball betting trends, we also find that Clemson is getting more money than bets (44% compared to 19%).

Teams like Clemson have historically had a slight edge, as large conference dogs have covered a bit more than favorites. Teams opening as double-digit dogs in conference games are 51.7% against the spread (ATS) since 2005 per Bet Labs.

Duke has been able to buck that trend, though, as it is 65-56-5 ATS when opening as a double-digit favorite vs. a conference foe. Coach K doesn’t care one bit about your fancy Bet Labs tools, he’s just there to send a message.

Will Clemson fans be disappointed again tonight? Probably. Will they at least get themselves a cover? Sharps think so.

Sharp angle: Clemson (moved from +11 to +10)

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