Gonzaga-Florida State Betting Odds: Opening Spread for NCAA Tournament’s Sweet 16

Gonzaga-Florida State Betting Odds: Opening Spread for NCAA Tournament’s Sweet 16 article feature image

Photo credit: James Snook-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Rui Hachimura and Brandon Clarke

#1 Gonzaga vs. #4 Florida State: NCAA Tournament Betting Odds

  • Spread: Gonzaga -7
  • Over/Under: 148
  • Date: Thursday, March 28
  • Time: 7:09 p.m. ET
  • Location: Anaheim, Calif.
  • TV: CBS

Gonzaga has opened as a 7.5-point favorite over Florida State in the NCAA Tournament’s Sweet 16.

The No. 9-seeded Seminoles beat the No. 4 Bulldogs in the tournament last season, 75-60, as a 6-point underdog.

Get a rundown of each team’s profile, plus Sean Koerner’s projected spread and over/under for the game, below.

Gonzaga’s Statistical Profile

The ‘Zags entered the tournament as KenPom’s second-best team in the country, and the best on the offensive side of the ball. However, Gonzaga struggled mightily with St. Mary’s in the West Coast Conference championship game, losing by 13 points to the Gaels.

Still, Gonzaga was the only team to beat Duke at full strength this season. The Bulldogs topped the Blue Devils, 89-87, in the Maui Invivational championship game back in November, a matchup that included a healthy Zion Williamson and proved that the ‘Zags have the firepower to compete with any team in the country. — PJ Walsh

  • Record: 30-3
  • Adj. Efficiency Rank: 2
  • Adj. Offensive Efficiency Rank: 1
  • Adj. Defensive Efficiency Rank: 15
  • Tempo Rank: 69

All advanced metrics via KenPom before the NCAA Tournament

Florida State’s Statistical Profile

Led by a balanced attack on the offensive side of the ball — F Mfiondu Kabengele (12.9 ppg) and G Terance Mann (11.4 ppg) were the only players to average double-digit points scored this season. Florida State finished the regular season as the best of the rest in the ACC, trailing only Virignia, North Carolina and Duke.

The Seminoles also entered the ACC Tournament with plenty of momentum, winning 13 of their final 14 games with the only loss coming on the road to North Carolina. FSU carried that momentum to the ACC Tournament finals before falling to Zion Williamson and Duke, 73-63. — PJ Walsh

  • Record: 27-7
  • Adj. Efficiency Rank: 15
  • Adj. Offensive Efficiency Rank: 38
  • Adj. Defensive Efficiency Rank: 11
  • Tempo Rank: 122

All advanced metrics via KenPom before the NCAA Tournament

Sean Koerner’s Gonzaga-Florida State Projections

Get point spreads for this game and every possible tournament matchup with our bracket simulator built by Sean Koerner, our Director of Predictive Analytics, a former oddsmaker and FantasyPros’ most accurate in-season fantasy football ranker from 2015-2017.

  • Spread: Gonzaga -7.5
  • Total: 146.5
  • Proj Score: Gonzaga 77 | Florida State 69.5
  • Win Probability: Gonzaga 76.8% | Florida State 23.2%
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