Sadly, we only have 15 games left in the 2018-19 college basketball season, but on the bright side, we're a few steps closer to crowning a national champion.
Which teams have the best chance of getting to the Final Four and ultimately cutting down the nets? We used Sean Koerner's proprietary projections to help answer that question. You can access these full projections and make spreads for every game in our bracket simulator.
Scroll to the bottom of this article for a full round-by-round sortable table.
#1 Duke NCAA Tournament Projections
- Elite 8: 76.6%
- Final 4: 51.9%
- Finals: 32.7%
- Win Championship: 21.7%
#1 Gonzaga NCAA Tournament Projections
- Elite 8: 75.2%
- Final 4: 47.4%
- Finals: 25.4%
- Win Championship: 15.6%
#1 Virginia NCAA Tournament Projections
- Elite 8: 79.3%
- Final 4: 50.2%
- Finals: 30.5%
- Win Championship: 15.3%
#1 North Carolina NCAA Tournament Projections
- Elite 8: 65.9%
- Final 4: 40.9%
- Finals: 22.1%
- Win Championship: 10.3%
#2 Michigan State NCAA Tournament Projections
- Elite 8: 69.1%
- Final 4: 30.5%
- Finals: 15.5%
- Win Championship: 8.4%
#2 Kentucky NCAA Tournament Projections
- Elite 8: 64.2%
- Final 4: 31%
- Finals: 14.6%
- Win Championship: 5.8%
#2 Michigan NCAA Tournament Projections
- Elite 8: 55.4%
- Final 4: 25.4%
- Finals: 11%
- Win Championship: 5.6%
#2 Tennessee NCAA Tournament Projections
- Elite 8: 51.8%
- Final 4: 22.8%
- Finals: 11.1%
- Win Championship: 4.2%
#3 Purdue NCAA Tournament Projections
- Elite 8: 48.2%
- Final 4: 20.4%
- Finals: 9.5%
- Win Championship: 3.5%
#3 Texas Tech NCAA Tournament Projections
- Elite 8: 44.6%
- Final 4: 18.2%
- Finals: 6.9%
- Win Championship: 3.1%
#5 Auburn NCAA Tournament Projections
- Elite 8: 34.1%
- Final 4: 15.8%
- Finals: 6.1%
- Win Championship: 1.9%
#4 Virginia Tech NCAA Tournament Projections
- Elite 8: 23.4%
- Final 4: 9.4%
- Finals: 3.3%
- Win Championship: 1.3%
#3 Houston NCAA Tournament Projections
- Elite 8: 35.8%
- Final 4: 12.4%
- Finals: 4.1%
- Win Championship: 1.1%
#3 LSU NCAA Tournament Projections
- Elite 8: 30.9%
- Final 4: 8.2%
- Finals: 2.6%
- Win Championship: 0.9%
#4 Florida State NCAA Tournament Projections
- Elite 8: 24.8%
- Final 4: 9%
- Finals: 2.6%
- Win Championship: 0.9%
#12 Oregon NCAA Tournament Projections
- Elite 8: 20.7%
- Final 4: 6.5%
- Finals: 1.9%
- Win Championship: 0.4%
