Updated Final Four, National Title Projections: Virginia Has Best Chance to Advance

Updated Final Four, National Title Projections: Virginia Has Best Chance to Advance article feature image
Credit:

Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Kyle Guy (5), De’Andre Hunter (12)

  • The Sweet 16 is here, so let's run through each team's chances of reaching the Elite 8, Final 4 and Championship Game and winning the 2019 National Championship.

Sadly, we only have 15 games left in the 2018-19 college basketball season, but on the bright side, we’re a few steps closer to crowning a national champion.

Which teams have the best chance of getting to the Final Four and ultimately cutting down the nets? We used Sean Koerner’s proprietary projections to help answer that question. You can access these full projections and make spreads for every game in our bracket simulator.

Scroll to the bottom of this article for a full round-by-round sortable table.

#1 Duke NCAA Tournament Projections

  • Elite 8: 76.6%
  • Final 4: 51.9%
  • Finals: 32.7%
  • Win Championship: 21.7%

#1 Gonzaga NCAA Tournament Projections

  • Elite 8: 75.2%
  • Final 4: 47.4%
  • Finals: 25.4%
  • Win Championship: 15.6%

#1 Virginia NCAA Tournament Projections

  • Elite 8: 79.3%
  • Final 4: 50.2%
  • Finals: 30.5%
  • Win Championship: 15.3%

#1 North Carolina NCAA Tournament Projections

  • Elite 8: 65.9%
  • Final 4: 40.9%
  • Finals: 22.1%
  • Win Championship: 10.3%

#2 Michigan State NCAA Tournament Projections

  • Elite 8: 69.1%
  • Final 4: 30.5%
  • Finals: 15.5%
  • Win Championship: 8.4%

#2 Kentucky NCAA Tournament Projections

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