NIT Betting Tip: Is It Smart to Follow Line Movement?

NIT Betting Tip: Is It Smart to Follow Line Movement? article feature image

Jeremy Brevard-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: North Carolina State Wolfpack guard Markell Johnson

  • The 2019 National Invitational Tournament tips off on Tuesday.
  • Using Bet Labs, we share a profitable against-the-spread betting system for following line movement in the NIT tournament.

It’s March Madness and everyone is focused on the NCAA Tournament, but don’t forget about the National Invitational Tournament (NIT). The NIT might be the consolation bracket for teams that did not receive a berth to the Big Dance, but that doesn’t mean bettors can’t make money off this second-tier tournament.

The public is focused on filling out their brackets, which means sharp bettors are primarily wagering on these often-overlooked NIT games. Since fading the public isn’t an option, bettors should follow the line movement.

According to Bet Labs, teams that see the line move in their direction (-3 to -4 or +6 to +5.5) have gone 201-173-7 (53.7%) against the spread (ATS) since 2005. The optimal situation is when a squad becomes a bigger favorite:

When teams have become bigger favorites (at least a 0.5-point line move), they have gone 106-87-3 (54.9%) ATS since 2005. A $100 bettor wagering on the favorites has returned a profit of $1,385. This system has been profitable in nine of the past 14 seasons.

There are two First Four games tonight, but if you are looking for more action follow this betting strategy with three matches for Tuesday.

  • NC State (-9) vs. Hofstra (7 p.m. ET, ESPN2)
  • Memphis (-6.5) vs. San Diego (8 p.m. ET, ESPN3)
  • Providence (-6) vs. Arkansas (9 p.m. ET, ESPN2)
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