Can Bettors Trust NCAA Tournament Cinderellas like Oregon in the Sweet 16?

Mar 26, 2019 8:28 PM EDT
Credit:

Kyle Terada-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Oregon Ducks bench during second-round win over UC Irvine

  • The Oregon Ducks are the last double-digit seed remaining in the 2019 NCAA Tournament.
  • Using Bet Labs, we analyze how Cinderella teams have performed against the spread in the Sweet 16.

March Madness is about buzzer-beaters and bracket-busters — at least that’s what we expect. But the 2019 NCAA Tournament has been tame.

After the first weekend of action, only one Cinderella remains.

The 12-seed Oregon upset 5-seed Wisconsin in the Round of 64, then easily dispatched 13-seed UC Irvine in the second round. Dana Altman’s bunch has a date with 1-seed Virginia on Thursday (9:59 p.m. ET on TBS) with a trip to the Elite Eight on the line.

A majority of spread tickets are on Oregon to cover as 8.5-point underdogs as of writing (see live odds and public betting data here). Bettors always love an underdog come March, and the Ducks have rewarded gamblers with a 2-0 against the spread (ATS) start to the tournament.

But should the public put their faith in a double-digit seed in the Sweet 16?