Saturday College Basketball Player Props: How to Bet Utah’s Branden Carlson & More (Jan. 21)
Photo by Chris Gardner/Getty Images. Pictured: Branden Carlson (Utah)
College basketball player props are something I’ve tried to get into more and more over the last two seasons. Even if you aren’t winning, it’s a great way to become more familiar with each team and individual players on that team.
The more you know about a specific player’s tendencies, the better you become as a handicapper.
Here are three players I think are poised to have a big night on Saturday.
Branden Carlson and the Utah Utes are looking to get another win streak rolling as they host the Washington Huskies on Saturday night.
Carlson has been on a roll as of late, averaging 31 minutes per game over the last five while racking up 21.5 points, 9.3 rebounds and two assists.
Matched up with a Washington team that’s sixth in the conference in defensive efficiency seems like a massive opportunity for him to keep the momentum rolling.
The Huskies also come in at 10th in the conference in offensive rebound percentage and are 12th in offensive rebound percentage allowed.
Washington won’t be slowing him down given it’s currently second in the conference when it comes to Adjusted Tempo.
Johnell Davis and the No. 1 offense in Conference USA will try to move to 19-1 on the season, as well as extend their win streak to 18 games when they square off against the UTEP Miners on Saturday night.
But FAU will have its work cut out for it against a UTEP team that leads the conference in defensive efficiency.
Despite that, though, I think this line is too low and overvalues the UTEP defense.
Davis has averaged only 12.3 points per game on the season, but in conference play, he’s averaging 16.1 per game. He can score from anywhere on the floor and ranks in the 93rd percentile nationally in usage rate.
He’s also improved when it comes to drawing fouls, seeing his season average of 1.9 increase to 2.6 per game in conference play.
Regardless of what this UTEP team is able to do against FAU defensively, Davis is going to get his.
Boogie Ellis hasn’t been much of a threat off of the offensive glass lately, but in this matchup against Arizona State, I think he stands to have a big game.
Ellis has racked up four or more rebounds in five of the Trojans’ eight conference games this season. The Sun Devils, meanwhile, are ninth in the conference in offensive rebound percentage.
Arizona State has allowed teams to average 10.1 offensive rebounds and 23.3 defensive rebounds per contest, ranking outside the top 200 nationally in both.
I think this line is not only lower than it should be, but that USC can dominate Arizona State on the glass.