Virginia vs. Texas Tech Betting Odds: Opening Line for 2019 National Championship Game

Apr 08, 2019 08:15 PM EDT
Credit:

Robert Deutsch-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Kyle Guy

Virginia vs. Texas Tech Betting Odds, Over/Under

  • Odds: Virginia -1.5
  • Over/Under: 118.5
  • Time: 9:20 p.m. ET
  • TV: CBS

>> All odds as of Saturday night. Download The Action Network App to get real-time odds and live win probabilities on your bets.


One year after bowing out in the biggest upset in NCAA Tournament history, Virginia is a win away from reaching college basketball’s pinnacle.

The Cavaliers are 1.5-point favorites at the Westgate SuperBook over Texas Tech in the national title game, which will begin Monday night at 9:20 p.m. ET. The total opened 119 and dropped half a point quickly.

How Virginia Got Here

Virginia has ranked top 5 almost all year in both offensive and defensive efficiency. It only lost to Duke during the regular season. But because of its plodding style and last year’s debacle against UMBC, not a whole lot of people were taking the Cavaliers to make a deep run.

And those people were almost rewarded twice. Virginia needed a miracle against Purdue to force overtime, then a miracle foul as time expired against Auburn to reach the national title game.

All stats via KenPom.

  • Adjusted Efficiency Margin: 1
  • Offensive Efficiency: 3
  • Defensive Efficiency: 5
  • Adjusted Tempo: 353 (out of 353)

How Texas Tech Got Here

Texas Tech has utilized its stellar defense to best Michigan, Gonzaga and Michigan State in the NCAA Tournament. Despite not getting much of anything from star Jarrett Culver against the Spartans, the Red Raiders advanced to set up a date with Virginia.

Tech has the highest-rated defense in the KenPom era (since 2002) and has consistently made adjustments at halftime — coach Chris Beard is now 9-0 ATS against the second half spread in his NCAA Tournament career.

All stats via KenPom.

  • Adjusted Efficiency Margin: 5
  • Offensive Efficiency: 28
  • Defensive Efficiency: 1
  • Adjusted Tempo: 229 (out of 353)

Sean Koerner’s Virginia-Texas Tech Projected Odds

These ratings were built by Sean Koerner, our Director of Predictive Analytics, a former oddsmaker and FantasyPros’ most accurate in-season fantasy football ranker from 2015-2017.