Arkansas vs. Memphis Odds & Betting Predictions - September 20, 2025

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Live betting game of day. Starting with Memphis hoping Arky a little flat early

Exotic bet available at most shops. Best # is at FD. Hitting 80 points in a college football game is no easy feat. A single empty red zone possession or methodical drive can kill an alternate over like this in an instant. Despite an obscene amount of yardage last week between Ole Miss and Arkansas (1,001), the total still landed south of 80 with a final score of 41-35, favoring the Rebels. A pair of red zone field goals from Ole Miss and two missed field goals by Arkansas’ Scott Starzyk kept that number under 80. But the potential for even more points this weekend exists for a handful of reasons. Let’s start with the Arkansas offense, which is cooking. The Hogs' offensive line has exceeded expectations early on, ranking inside the top 20 in line yards, stuff rate allowed, and pass blocking. Quarterback Taylen Green leads the nation in total yards (1,173), is second in QBR, and has put the fear of God into opposing coaches. Memphis’ head coach Ryan Silverfield said this week after watching Green’s tape, "That's a Heisman candidate quarterback." Explosive playmakers like wide receiver Blake O’Mega and running back Mike Washington Jr. surround Green. Now the Memphis defense has impressive stats through three weeks, but they’ve yet to play a challenging opponents. And under the hood, one stat stands out: tackling. The Tigers rank 134th in tackling, which could turn short Arkansas gains into long touchdowns. Like Arkansas, Memphis’ offensive line has been really impressive this season. Despite replacing three full-time starters up front, the Tigers rank fifth in line yards and ninth in stuff rate avoidance. Sutton Smith has looked fantastic on the ground, and it’s likely that Greg Desrosiers Jr. gets added back into the mix after missing the last two games with a lower leg injury. With opposing defenses focused on stopping the Memphis run game, Brendon Lewis has been precise through the air. The journeyman’s Adjusted Completion Percentage is an otherworldly 85.9%. No quarterback in the country has a higher ADJ%. Arkansas will struggle to stop the run (118th in Rush Success) and should be victimized by big plays (132nd). Ole Miss’ receivers averaged 16.2 yards per reception, and that was with a backup quarterback who last played at the Division II level. Both of these teams could score 40+, which makes this exotic market too enticing to pass up at any number north of +500.

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Project 68; Memphis near dead last in tackle grading w massive EPA edge to Arkansas passing. Hogs 118th defensive rush efficiency, Memphis should move the ball. Currently 27th offensive finishing drives