2022 College Football Playoff National Championship Odds Tracker: Big Ten Makes Bigger Statement
Tom Pennington/Getty Images. Pictured: Sean Clifford.
- The Big Ten received bumps all around in the futures market after an impressive weekend
- Once conference in particular took a significant loss in the playoff picture after Week 5
2022 College Football Playoff National Title Odds
Odds via DraftKings (300-1 or shorter)
Week 5 Update
Big Ten Shows Out
To call it a good week for the Big Ten contenders would be an understatement.
Iowa got the party started Friday with a 37-point shellacking over Maryland. Ohio State, Michigan, Michigan State and Penn State all followed suit Saturday, picking up double-digit victories over their respective opponents.
Due to the impressive weekend, all five clubs received bumps in the futures market.
- Ohio State: +1200 to +1000
- Penn State: +2800 to +2500
- Michigan: +5000 to +3000
- Iowa: +5000 to +3500
- Michigan State: +8000 to +75000
Oregon Out of the Picture – For Now
Stanford did the Ducks dirty in Palo Alto this past weekend, handing Oregon its first loss of the season.
The Pac-12’s been non-existent in the playoff picture since 2016 and the latest loss puts the conference in another tough spot to send a program to the four-team final.
At this point, it might be either Oregon or bust: Only one other Pac-12 team’s listed shorter than 200-1 (Arizona State, +8000).
Oregon’s Bid To Lose
Georgia can contest Alabama. Both Penn State and Iowa can beat Ohio State. Texas looks more and more like a threat to Oklahoma by the week.
Oregon in the Pac-12, meanwhile, is sitting pretty.
The rest of the conference is bottoming out, paving a path for Oregon to run away with it. USC suffered its second loss of the season this past weekend, joining Washington and Utah with multiple losses.
The Ducks got through the meat of their schedule, with wins over Fresno State and Ohio State. If they can’t get a Pac-12 team to the Playoff for the first time since the 2016 season, it won’t be any one else’s fault.
Best Sleeper Bet
All Michigan State and head coach Mel Tucker do is win.
They picked up their fourth straight victory of the season Saturday over Nebraska to remain perfect. Tucker and Co. have picked up two dubs as underdogs along the way.
As crazy as it sounds, Michigan State could be favored in every single game down the stretch. Sparty draws Western Kentucky, Rutgers and Indiana before a home game against a Michigan team that’s yet to be tested.
If they win out, they get Purdue and Maryland to close out the season.
This is the best price you’ll get on MSU.
Week 3 Update
Michigan, Cincinnati Surge
Michigan and Cincinnati notably moved up in a weekend low on drama.
Jim Harbaugh’s club went from +7500 to +5000 following a resounding 63-10 win over NIU, in which the offense scored touchdowns on its first nine drives to open the game.
Cincinnati, meanwhile, weathered the storm against Indiana, overcoming a double-digit deficit to ultimately cover against the Hoosiers. Luke Fickell’s bunch is now +6000, up from +8000 last week.
If the Bearcats get by Notre Dame later, things become interesting.
Week 2 Update
Buckeyes Trickle Back
The most significant shift up were the Buckeyes, who fell from +500 to +900 after losing to Oregon as double-digit favorites. It was head coach Ryan Day’s first regular-season loss in two-plus campaigns.
This is the best price bettors will get on Ohio State the entire year. The Buckeyes are four-touchdown favorites Saturday versus Tulsa and still the team to beat in the Big Ten.
Ducks, Trojans Trending Opposite Directions
Oregon and USC were both 60-1 to win the title entering Week 2. Two days later, they’re on opposite ends of the spectrum.
The Ducks won their toughest game of the year, skyrocketing up to 25-1. The Trojans, meanwhile, lost by double digits to Stanford as 17.5-point chalk.
The Pac-12’s hope of getting a team to the Playoff for the first time since the 2016 season rests solely on Oregon’s shoulders at this point.
Week 1 Update
Alabama, Georgia Make Leaps
Multiple conferences wavered in Week 1, but the cream of the SEC crop showed out.
Reigning national champion Alabama covered in a romp over Miami. Quarterback and current Heisman favorite Bryce Young made the Hurricanes look silly, posting 344 yards and four scores. The Crimson Tide earned a slight bump from +250 to +210.
Georgia, meanwhile, made arguably the biggest statement in the title market. Kirby Smart’s club jumped from +600 to +390 after holding Clemson without a touchdown in the 10-3 win.
Big 12 Contenders Fail to Dominate
Oklahoma (+750) and Iowa State (+3500) could have made solid first impressions against far-inferior opponents Saturday, but didn’t look the part of contenders.
The Sooners, who seem to have a knack for sleepwalking as large chalk under head coach Lincoln Riley, narrowly lost to Tulane as 32-point favorites. The Cyclones, meanwhile, needed a late stop to stave off Northern Iowa.
In turn, both clubs took a slight step back to +800 and +4000, respectively.
Tar Heels Fall Out of Race
No team suffered more in the title market than North Carolina (+13000), which fell to Virginia Tech as a 6-point favorite in Blacksburg. Quarterback Sam Howell is notably down from +1400 to +2500 in the Heisman odds after committing three interceptions.
However, if bettors are still high on North Carolina, now’s the time to jump in and bet ’em, despite the slow start. The Tar Heels should be double-digit favorites in each of their next five games, while also ducking Clemson.
The current price is as good as it gets.
Aug. 9 Update
Alabama and Clemson have dominated college football over recent memory, winning five of the last six national titles.
Lo and behold, the market is high on both powerhouses just weeks leading up to the regular season.
The Crimson Tide and Tigers are the only two teams in the nation priced shorter than 5-1 at DraftKings, while Ohio State, Georgia, and Oklahoma round out the top five.
The SEC leads all conferences with five teams 100-1 or shorter, followed by the Big 10 (4).
Iowa State slips into the second tier of contenders and could make noise in 2021. Head coach Matt Campbell quietly led the Cyclones to a nine-win campaign last year, with two of three losses coming by a combined nine points. His squad is just outside the top-10 nationally in total returning EPA.
The Pac-12 hasn’t sent a team to the Playoff since 2016. Oregon and USC appear the likeliest suitors as the only programs in the conference listed better than 80-1.
If a mid-major is to pull off the unthinkable and crack the four-team playoff, watch out for Cincinnati. The reigning AAC champs have mowed through their competition lately under head coach Luke Fickell, who’s compiled a remarkable 31-6 win-loss clip over the last three seasons.
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