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Baylor vs. Ole Miss Odds, Date: Opening Spread, Total for 2022 Sugar Bowl

Baylor vs. Ole Miss Odds, Date: Opening Spread, Total for 2022 Sugar Bowl article feature image

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Baylor vs. Ole Miss Odds

Baylor Odds +3
Ole Miss Odds -3
Over/Under 51
Date Jan. 1
Location Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, Louisiana

Baylor is set to take on Ole Miss in the Sugar Bowl on Jan. 1 at Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, Louisiana.

FanDuel opened Ole Miss as a 3-point favorite, with the total at 51.

Find our expert’s projected odds, a recap of each team’s seasons, plus more information on the Sugar Bowl below.

Baylor vs. Ole Miss Projected Odds

Baylor Spread -2.5
Ole Miss Spread +2.5
Over/Under 65.9

These Baylor vs. Ole Miss projections are based on Collin Wilson’s college football power ratings, which help power our PRO Projections — they compare all of his projections to real-time college football odds in order to easily identify betting edges.

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How Baylor Reached the Sugar Bowl

Dave Aranda pulled off one of the slickest turnarounds in all of college football.

Had it not been for Mike Gundy’s Oklahoma State Cowboys going 11-1 win and beating OU in the regular-season finale, Baylor’s second-year head man would have been a surefire lock for Big 12 Coach of the Year.

After finishing ahead of only Kansas in the conference with a 2-7 record last season, the Bears turned in a double-digit-win campaign.

Baylor was exceptional in the underdog role during the regular season, upsetting Kansas State, Iowa State and Oklahoma.

The Bears ran for more than 225 yards per game on the ground, while the defense coughed up fewer than 20 points per contest. Aranda, who’s in his first head-coaching gig, was the defensive coordinator for the 2019 title-winning LSU defense.

How Ole Miss Reached the Sugar Bowl

Consider the Lane Train off and running in Oxford.

Kiffin led Ole Miss to an impressive 10-win season in Year 2, easily shattering the preseason total of 7.5.

The offense ran like a well-oiled machine, ranking fifth nationally in total yards per game.

Quarterback Matt Corral enjoyed a multi-week stint as the Heisman favorite earlier in the season. He posted nine passing touchdowns, zero interceptions and five rushing scores through the first three weeks, ultimately tapering off in conference play.

Ole Miss finished 9-3 to the under during the regular season. The defense was lights-out down the stretch, holding each of the final seven opponents under the team total.

The Rebels outscored their competition by 8.5 points per game in 2021, a year after registering just a +0.9 clip.

Baylor vs. Ole Miss Matchup Analysis

Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how Baylor and Ole Miss match up statistically:

Baylor Offense vs. Ole Miss Defense
Rush Success 5 124
Line Yards 21 121
Pass Success 68 79
Pass Blocking** 3 40
Big Play 19 95
Havoc 79 84
Finishing Drives 40 53
** Pass Blocking (Off.) vs. Pass Rush (Def.)

Ole Miss Offense vs. Baylor Defense
Rush Success 3 14
Line Yards 35 32
Pass Success 32 56
Pass Blocking** 24 58
Big Play 21 57
Havoc 51 15
Finishing Drives 53 30
** Pass Blocking (Off.) vs. Pass Rush (Def.)

Pace of Play / Other
PFF Tackling 73 70
Coverage 63 31
Middle 8 76 36
SP+ Special Teams 75 23
Plays per Minute 101
Rush Rate 60.3% (28) 57.5% (45)

Data via College Football Data, FootballOutsiders, SP+, PFF and SportSource Analytics.

Sugar Bowl Date, Time, TV, More Info

  • Date: Jan. 1
  • Time: 8:45 p.m. ET
  • Location: Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, Louisiana
  • TV Info: ESPN

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