Will Urban Meyer Get Fired? 2 Sportsbooks Post Wildly Different Odds

Aug 01, 2018 4:55 PM EDT
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Matthew Emmons-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Ohio State’s Urban Meyer

  • Ohio State coach Urban Meyer is taking heat for his alleged knowledge of an assistant coach's domestic abuse in 2015.
  • Meyer denied all knowledge, and said he'd have fired Zach Smith then if he knew.

Urban Meyer is under fire for his alleged knowledge of an assistant coach’s domestic abuse, which has fueled speculation that he’ll be fired as Ohio State’s head football coach.

How has the betting market responded? It depends which sportsbook you look at.

At one book, Meyer is a -200 favorite to be fired by Sept. 1, meaning a bettor would wager $20 to win $10. (This translates to a 66.7% implied probability.) Meyer to not be fired is +160 (38.5% chance). That means $10 would win $16.

At another book, Meyer is a -303 favorite to remain the Buckeyes’ head coach (75.2% chance) and a +240 underdog to be out of a job (29.4% chance).


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If you’re not caught up, here’s the latest on the situation at Ohio State:

  • Ohio State wide receivers coach Zach Smith was fired on July 23 after his ex-wife Courtney’s accusations of domestic abuse became public.
  • Last week at Big Ten Media Days, Meyer denied having any knowledge of Smith’s alleged assaults from 2015, saying he would have fired him then had he known. Meyer did admit to knowing about Smith’s 2009 arrest while the two were coaching at Florida.
  • Wednesday morning, reporter Brett McMurphy published text messages and quotes from Courtney that suggest Meyer knew of the abuse in 2015 and did nothing.
  • Cleveland.com uncovered nine police reports from 2012-2018 involving domestic violence between the Smiths. Zach Smith was charged only with criminal trespassing.

Ohio State is an even-money favorite to win the Big Ten. Its win total is listed at 10.5, and it’s +500 to win the national championship.

The Buckeyes open the season at home against Oregon State on Sept. 1 as 38-point favorites.

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