Wilson’s Late-Night Betting Guide: How to Bet Cal-Washington & Hawaii-Oregon State

Cal at Washington

• Spread: Washington -14
• Over/Under: 43.5
• Time: 10:30 p.m. ET
• TV: Fox Sports 1

In a span of just a couple of years, Justin Wilcox has turned Cal into a defensive juggernaut. The Bears finished 2018 ranked 13th in defensive S&P+ and had a tough test against UC Davis from the FCS in Week 1.

After a fumble early by the Cal offense, UC Davis led 10-0 before the defense shut Aggies down for the remainder of the game. The key in that previous sentence is fumble, as Cal has consistently had issues with turnovers.

That was not a problem in last year’s 12-10 victory over Washington. Wilcox has a long history with Washington head coach Chris Petersen.

The former defensive coordinator spent 2006 through 2009 at Boise State producing some of the Broncos best defenses in program history.

Our Action Network projections have this game at Washington -8.5, giving value to the current number at two touchdowns. This game coms down to quarterback Chase Garbers and ball protection.

The Bears were 126th in offensive IsoPPP last season, but Garbers hit explosive plays in the passing game in Week 1.

Pick: Cal +14

Oregon State at Hawaii

• Spread: Oregon State +6.5
• Over/Under: 77
• Time: 12 a.m. ET, Facebook

This point spread was an eye opener once it reached a touchdown. Two weeks ago, Hawaii was listed as an 11-point underdog hosting Arizona.

Currently, the Rainbow Warriors are favored by 6.5 points hosting Oregon State. And no respected power rating has a 17.5-point gap between Oregon State and Arizona.

There’s spread Beavers, who ran into one of the most offensive efficient teams in the nation against Oklahoma State in Week 1.

The key to this game is the Beavers ground attack. Arizona averaged 5.6 yards per rush, with both Khalil Tate and JJ Taylor busting big plays on Hawaii.

Oregon State will be led by Jermar Jefferson and Artavis Pierce. Both options ran for 5 yards per carry against the Cowboys, and led a rushing attack that was 20th in rushing IsoPPP in 2018.

Hawaii QB Cole McDonald will get the start after being benched against Arizona. The quarterback had four touchdowns along with four interceptions before Chevan Cordeiro came in to close the victory.

Keep tabs on Oregon State safety Jalen Moore, who missed Week 1 with a hamstring injury. Moore was the secondary top tackler and produced 6% of the Beavers havoc in 2018.

I’ll be riding the spread and moneyline action with the Beavers into the early morning hours.

Pick: Oregon State +6.5 and Moneyline (+200)