Wilson: My 5 Favorite College Football Bets for Week 11

Nov 09, 2019 08:21 AM EST
Credit:

Mark Zerof-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Lynn Bowden Jr.

  • Collin Wilson breaks down his five college football best bets for Week 11.
  • He's betting some marquee games, some ugly games and some others in between.

There is a saying in adult slow-pitch softball that will grab the attention of both dugouts: “The middle is open.”

In my 20’s I pitched weekly in leagues and traveled through different states playing tournaments. I took plenty of shots at all parts of my body, but was thankful for wearing the necessary equipment to keep me safe.

Whenever an opposing batter comes up the middle at a pitcher in slow-pitch  softball there is a cadence. The pitcher will look at the batter on first base, and if there is not an apology the pitcher will state, “the middle is open.” That phrase also applies to the showdown between LSU and Alabama.

Linebacker Michael Divinity was dismissed from LSU earlier this week. The senior had lost playing time due to injury and off field issues, but remained a constant for LSU in passing down situations. Divinity leads the team in sacks, taking away one of the best pressure linebackers for a Tigers defense that ranks 70th in sack rate.

With Derek Stingley and Kristian Fulton ranking as some of the best corners in the nation in passes defensed, it isn’t far fetched to guess Alabama will game plan to attack the middle of the LSU defense. Joe Brady, LSU’s passing-game coordinator, should have the same plan of attack with Joe Burrow.

LSU has excelled in shallow crossing routes, slants and quick hitches. Expect Joe Burrow to look over the middle at Alabama linebacker Anfernee Jennings before a check down to a running back. The play-action pass will mean everything to Burrow’s chances at explosive passes. The middle is not only open in this game, it’s necessary to attack for either team to remain atop the SEC West.

Tua Tagovailoa is not 100% as Nick Saban continues to call it a game-time decision. The quarterback suffered a high-ankle sprain against Tennessee on Oct. 19, and  has since undergone the TightRope surgery in hopes of playing in this game.

I will be in Las Vegas shopping for props on LSU and Alabama skill position player receipts and touchdowns, especially the secondary options such as Henry Ruggs III for Alabama and Terrace Marshall Jr for LSU. As for Week 11 bets, I’ll be looking at sandwich spots and home underdogs to get tickets to the window.

Be sure and follow me in The Action Network App to get my bets on every Week 11 game, plus the Week 12 opening lines I bet on Sunday.

College Football Best Bets for Week 11


Odds as of Thursday at 8 a.m. ET and via PointsBet, where Action Network users can access an exclusive promotion to get a 200% deposit match (deposit $50, bet with $150).


Purdue vs. Northwestern

  • Spread: Northwestern -2
  • Over/Under: 38
  • Time: 12 p.m. ET
  • TV: Big Ten Network

This number initially caught my eye from our Action Network power ratings that made Northwestern a 3-point favorite. Purdue has lost quarterback Jack Plummer for the season, giving the Boilermakers an even tougher path to a bowl game. Wisconsin and Indiana remain on the schedule, but a date with the offensively inept Wildcats awaits.

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