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Wednesday MACtion Odds & Picks: Sharps Betting Western Michigan vs. Central Michigan & Northern Illinois vs. Ball State

Wednesday MACtion Odds & Picks: Sharps Betting Western Michigan vs. Central Michigan & Northern Illinois vs. Ball State article feature image

Chris Gardner/Getty Images. Pictured: Ross Bowers and Tre Harbison

  • MACtion takes center stage tonight with a three-game Wednesday college football slate.
  • Using our PRO Report, we detail how sharps are betting Nothern Illinois vs. Ball State and Western Michigan vs. Central Michigan.

Few things are as effective in pushing past the midweek hump as a three-game Wednesday MACtion slate. And while tonight’s games should draw plenty of action as the only sports in town, it’s not just the public betting population finding reason to bet them.

Sharp bettors are also finding plenty of value on the mini weeknight slate. And of the three games, two have aligned our PRO Report signals on the same side as the wiseguys, presenting an even better betting opportunity:

  • 7 p.m. ET | Northern Illinois vs. Ball State
  • 7 p.m. ET | Western Michigan vs. Central Michigan

Let’s take a look.

Note: Data as of 8:45 a.m. ET.

There’s more sharp action Wednesday …

N. Illinois vs. Ball State spread

W. Michigan vs. C. Michigan spread

Toledo vs. E. Michigan over/under

Northern Illinois vs. Ball State

7 p.m. ET | ESPNews

The under has drawn the brunt of the sharp action on this total, and according to history, along with our model’s projections, there’s good reason for that.

Sharp Action

Our Sharp Action indicator is measured through Sports Insights Bet Signals, which are triggered any time the market reacts in a way that’s specifically a result of professional betting.

In this case, those signals have been triggered four times on the under, so while the overall line movement may not look like much, the reason for it — or one contributing factor, at least — is clear.

Sharp Action edge: Under

PRO Systems

Another potential factor, or reason for sharps to be flocking to the under, comes via Mother Nature.

Winds of 14-18 mph are expected throughout tonight’s game in Muncie, which makes it a match for our Windy Unders PRO System.

Since 2005, games played in winds of at least 13 mph have hit the under at a 57% rate.

PRO Systems edge: Under

Model Projections

Making the under even more appealing, our projections suggests this total still has some ways to drop to be completely accurate.

Our college football model — compiled by Collin Wilson — sets this total at 57.8, giving more than a field goal’s worth of value to the current line.

Model Projections edge: Under

Western Michigan vs. Central Michigan

7 p.m. ET | ESPN2

Once again, the pros are all over the under in this intrastate battle. And once again history suggests they’re on the right side.

Sharp Action

The line movement has been a bit more pronounced here, with the total dropping by about a field goal at most books. And that drop has come despite 59% of bettors landing on the over.

If that wasn’t enough of a giveaway, SI Bet Signals have confirmed sharps to be behind the line move, triggering three times on the under since Monday.

Sharp Action edge: Under

PRO Systems

More wind is expected in Mount Pleasant, and while it may not be on quite the same level as what’s projected above, the 12-15 mph projection is still enough to reach our 57% win-rate threshold.

PRO Systems edge: Under

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