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College Football Player Props: Our 5 Top Picks for Week 4, Including Boston College’s Zay Flowers & More

College Football Player Props: Our 5 Top Picks for Week 4, Including Boston College’s Zay Flowers & More article feature image
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Maddie Meyer/Getty Images. Pictured: Boston Collegebwide receiver Zay Flowers.

  • Welcome to our weekly college football Saturday player props. This time we're diving in for Week 4.
  • We have five picks to offer you, including Boston College WR Zay Flowers and more.
  • Read below to get your picks.

Along with your standard spread and total bets, Week 4 brings with it plenty of college football player props with betting value.

Our staff broke down five of their favorite player props for Saturday, ranging from the noon kickoff window all the way through the evening kicks at 8 p.m. ET.

We see value on a number of star players, including Boston College wide receiver Zay Flowers, Texas A&M running back Devon Achane and UCF quarterback John Rhys Plumlee.

And if you’re looking for a bet to make you hold your nose a bit, we also have an over for Wisconsin quarterback Graham Mertz (gulp).

Check out all five of our top player props for college football Week 4 below.

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College Football Player Props for Week 4

In the table below, you’ll find each of our college football staff’s top player prop picks from Saturday’s slate of games. Click on any pick or team logo to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.

Time (ET)
Player Prop
12 p.m. ET
4 p.m. ET
7 p.m. ET
7:30 p.m. ET
8 p.m. ET
Specific bet recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NCAAF Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game.

Central Michigan vs. Penn State

12 p.m. ET
Saturday, Sept. 24
Big Ten Network

WR Parker Washington Receiving Yards

By Alex Kolodziej

Here’s the optimal buy-low window on Penn State’s Parker Washington, who’s off to a rather slow start in the Nittany Lions’ offense.

We saw flashes of Washington late last season, yet his 2022 numbers have been tame, as he’s tussled mainly with Western Kentucky transfer Mitchell Tinsley and Brenton Strange for targets.

Washington has 148 receiving yards on 10 catches through three games, with no touchdowns. However, a breakout looms, and if it doesn’t come in Week 4 against Central Michigan, then I’ll hit the panic button.

The Chippewas are bottom-20 nationally in Pass Success and bottom-15 in pass yards allowed per completion (14.1).
They were diced up in their only game against a Power Five offense in Oklahoma State, in which they let three separate receivers total 73 yards or more.

South Alabama, the following week, was three Caullin Lacy receiving yards away from producing not one, but two 100-yard wideouts in a win over Central Michigan.

Washington’s due, and we’re either at – or at least near – the bottom of his market price.

Pick: Parker Washington Over 62.5 Receiving Yards · Play to 67.5


Georgia Tech vs. UCF

4 p.m. ET
Saturday, Sept. 24
ESPNU

QB John Rhys Plumlee Passing + Rushing Yards

By Keg

Three games into the season, John Rhys Plumlee has averaged 360 passing/rushing yards per game.

In two of those games, he has passed for over 300 yards while rushing for over 100. The one outlier was against Louisville, when he threw for 131 and ran for 83.

Georgia Tech, meanwhile, has given up an average of 253 passing yards and 184 rushing yards over three games. Last week, Ole Miss rushed for over 300 yards as a team, while quarterback Jaxson Dart threw for 207 yards and ran for 40 in just three quarters.

The Yellow Jackets’ defense ranks 104th in Passing Success Rate Allowed, while also being 118th in Rushing Success Rate Allowed.

There might not be a better example of a true dual-threat quarterback in the country than Plumlee. He ranks 26th among all FBS players in rush yards – while leading all QBs – and is 32nd nationally in passing yards.

I expect this UCF offense – which is one of the top 10 in the country – to shine against a Georgia Tech defense that ranks outside the top 100 in total defense.

And Plumlee will lead the way.

My only concern would be if Plumlee doesn’t play the whole game, but after seeing what Dart was able to do in just three quarters last week, I’m confident that even if the backups come in, there’s a high chance he still surpasses this number.

Pick: John Rhys Plumlee Over 324.5 Passing + Rushing Yards · Play to 330


Arkansas vs. Texas A&M

7 p.m. ET
Saturday, Sept. 24
ESPN

RB Devon Achane Rushing Yards

By Cody Goggin

Devon Achane is one of the most electric backs in college football, and Jimbo Fisher always wants to get his running backs heavily involved.

Achane only received 10 rushing attempts against Appalachian State, as the other eight came from quarterback Haynes King.

Last week with Haynes King being benched, we saw Texas A&M make the switch to Max Johnson, who is not as big of a rushing threat as King. In this game, Achane led the backfield with 18 rushes, while Johnson had seven and two other players combined for six more.

The Aggies have been more effective on the ground this year than through the air, and I would expect Fisher to continue to lean on his running game.

Arkansas’ defense ranks 115th in the country in Success Rate against the run.

A&M’s last opponent, Miami (FL), ranks second in the country in Success Rate against the run. This Miami defense was tough to run against, and Achane was still able to grind out 88 yards on his 18 carries.

It does not seem like the book recognizes how poor this Arkansas rushing defense has been, or how much of a workload that Achane should receive. If he can get 15 rushes — which is well within the range he should be in – I would expect him to blow past this number easily.

Pick: Devon Achane Over 68.5 Rushing Yards · Play to 74.5


Wisconsin vs. Ohio State

7:30 p.m. ET
Saturday, Sept. 24
ABC

QB Graham Mertz Passing Yards

By Alex Hinton

Graham Mertz is far from my favorite player to back, either for props or when looking for Wisconsin to cover. However, this line and situation calls for it this week, in my opinion.

Wisconsin wants to pound the rock, and it has another excellent running back in sophomore Braelon Allen.

However, despite that, Mertz has gone over 200 passing yards in all three games this season. With his line on FanDuel at 161.5, he would easily smash that number if he hits 200 passing yards again.

Wisconsin has played Illinois State, Washington State and New Mexico State.

It will face a big step in competition when it travels to Columbus to battle the No. 3 Ohio State Buckeyes. However, Ohio State is 111th in both Passing Down Explosiveness Allowed and Passing Play Explosiveness Allowed.

Additionally, Wisconsin is an 18.5-point underdog on FanDuel and 19 points on DraftKings. I believe that number is too big, but I do think Ohio State wins the game.

If Wisconsin is trailing – particularly by more than one score – it will have to abandon the running game. That will put the ball in Mertz’s hands more often.

In Wisconsin’s blowout wins this season, Mertz has averaged 15.5 pass attempts per game. In the loss to Washington State, he had 31 attempts and averaged 7.3 yards per attempt.

If Mertz attempts 30 passes, he should get 162 rather easily (5.4 per attempt), and he will probably hit 200 yards.

Pick: Graham Mertz Over 161.5 Passing Yards · Play to 180


Boston College vs. Florida State

8 p.m. ET
Saturday, Sept. 24
ACC Network

WR Zay Flowers Receiving Yards

By Kyle Remillard

Boston College enters its matchup against Florida State as a three-possession underdog.

The Eagles’ rushing attack has been non-existent, averaging just 1.7 yards per carry. The group has rushed for only 33 yards on 54 carries.

The only connection that has kept the Boston College offense alive has been Phil Jurkovec to Zay Flowers.
Flowers leads the team with 22 receptions for 285 yards and three scores this season. The senior receiver is averaging 13 yards per reception and has been the go-to guy for the program.

Boston College has thrown the ball on 56% of its plays this season. It will be matching up against a defense that ranks 79th in Passing Success Rate, allowing an average of six yards per pass attempt.

Flowers should see plenty of action against Florida State, as Boston College will likely be playing from behind as such big underdogs. The team often is trying to get the ball in Flowers hands as often as possible, and that trend will continue here.

Pick: Zay Flowers Over 78.5 Receiving Yards · Play to 84.5

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