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College Football Picks, Predictions: Expert Week 10 Early Bet for Delaware vs Liberty

College Football Picks, Predictions: Expert Week 10 Early Bet for Delaware vs Liberty article feature image
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HELEN COMER/The Daily News Journal / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images. Pictured: Liberty’s Julian Gray.

Week 10 of the college football season is upon us. With that, it's time to take a look at the odds board and see what kind of value we can find before lines move this week.

For his Week 10 early bet of the week, Action Network senior writer Collin Wilson is looking at a Conference USA clash between Delaware and Liberty on Saturday, Nov. 1.

Let's dive into Wilson's college football picks and NCAAF predictions for Delaware vs. Liberty in Week 10 below.


Delaware vs Liberty Odds

Delaware Logo
Saturday, Nov. 1
3:30 p.m. ET
CBS Sports Network
Liberty Logo
Delaware Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+3
-110
50.5
-110o / -110u
N/A
Liberty Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-3
-110
50.5
-110o / -110u
N/A
Odds via BetMGM. Get up-to-the-minute NCAAF odds here.
BetMGM Logo

A pair of 2-2 Conference USA members are set to take battle in Week 10, with an underachieving Liberty team set to host an overachieving Delaware team.

The Blue Hens have been a pass-first team under quarterback Nick Minicucci, who enters this contest with 13 touchdowns to just three interceptions.

A top-30 rank in quality drives — a statistic that combines offensive continuity analytics — can be attributed to Minicucci’s connection with wideout Kyre Duplessis.

The Delaware passing game will now go head-to-head with a Liberty defense that ranks 20th in coverage, per PFF.

The Flames sit top-30 FBS team in Passing Success Rate allowed with one of the better contested catch rates nationally.

More importantly, Minicucci has struggled against Cover 1 with a 44% Success Rate and negative EPA. Liberty's 3-3-5 scheme plays a large percentage of defensive snaps in Cover 1, which will be a negative for the Blue Hens' passing

Action Network's Betting Power Ratings through Week 9 call for Liberty to be favored by just under a touchdown.

Look for the Flames' secondary to shut down Minicucci, while the Liberty offense creates enough rush explosives to pick up a win in Conference USA.

Pick: Liberty -3 or Better (BetMGM)

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Author Profile
About the Author

Collin is a senior writer for the Action Network, but serves in various roles behind the scenes as well. As someone who specializes in data visualization of probabilities, power ratings, and head-to-head matchups, Collin’s work within the college football space powers the Action Network’s PRO projections throughout the college football season, and has done so since the birth of the app in 2017. Collin contributes similarly to the college basketball vertical, and his passion for predictive analytics have led him to become a key force in finding betting edges in more niche markets such as professional wrestling and entertainment awards.

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