Week 3 College Football PrizePicks Bets: Saturday Player Prop Picks for Texas A&M’s Haynes King & More
Chris Gardner/Getty Images. Pictured: Tavion Thomas #9 of the Utah Utes.
- Player props are gaining steam across the nation, but don't forget about PrizePicks.
- Mike Bainbridge outlines your PrizePicks selections for Week 3 of college football.
- He spotlights Texas A&M QB Haynes King and Utah RB Tavion Thomas, among others.
College football player props are back with a full slate of options at our disposal, and Action Network has you covered with our best plays for the Week 3 slate.
We’re in luck again, because the books have overcorrected their overcorrections, swaying heavily towards the numbers posted in Week 2. This is the perfect spot to take advantage.
If you enjoy college football player prop betting, and are interested in weekly statistical projections, please make sure to check out our friends at the CFFSite who compile the data that can give you the edge against the books.
College Football Player Props for Week 3
In the table below, you’ll find each of my top player prop picks from Saturday’s slate of games. Click on any pick or team logo to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
|Specific bet recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NCAAF Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game.|
Oklahoma vs. Nebraska
WR Trey Palmer Receptions
The slot receiver has always been the profitable position in offensive coordinator Mark Whipple’s scheme – from Jordan Addison and Maurice Ffrench at Pitt to UMass Minutemen legend Andy Isabella.
The 2022 version is former LSU-transfer Trey Palmer, who is converting on 72% of his 25 targets to lead the Cornhuskers with 18 receptions through three games.
The CFFSite’s projection calls for seven receptions for Palmer this week, and PrizePicks’ number of 4.5 is far too low for a team that averages 32.3 pass attempts per game.
Pick: Trey Palmer Over 4.5 Receptions
Buffalo vs. Coastal Carolina
QB Cole Snyder Passing Yards
Yes, yes – we know what you’re thinking. Why invest in a quarterback for a Buffalo team that has finished in the bottom-half of the MAC in passing since 2017?
- The CFFSite’s projection for Snyder calls for 226 passing yards.
Snyder’s opponent, Coastal Carolina, is ranks 116th in pass defense and allowed 308 yards in a loss to Gardner-Webb.
There has been a stylistic shift under offensive coordinator Shane Montgomery.
Between 2014-2020, Montgomery’s offenses averaged 24.3 pass attempts per game. That number jumped to 30.6 in 2021, and Snyder is averaging 33.0 attempts per game during the first two weeks of the 2022 season.
Buffalo’s skill-position strength is at receiver with last year’s leading returnee Quian Williams and Louisville-transfer Justin Marshall.
Pick: Cole Snyder Over 184.5 Passing Yards
Ohio vs. Iowa State
RB Jirehl Brock Rushing Yards
This line is going to move by Friday, so we’d suggest jumping on Brock’s over as soon as possible with a CFFSite projection at 108.0 yards.
Prizepicks did see freshman phenom Nick Singleton run roughshod last week over the same Ohio Bobcats’ defense that Brock is about to face, correct?
There were questions about Brock in the offseason – whether or not he’d be the guy to replace a school legend in Breece Hall. Through two weeks, it looks like we can put those questions to bed.
Brock has surpassed the century mark in both games, including 100 yards exactly versus an Iowa Hawkeyes defense that was projected to be top five in the country entering the season.
He has commanded 58% of Iowa State’s backfield market share, meaning there isn’t anyone legitimately threatening him for carries. That is good news for us on the over.
Pick: Jirehl Brock Over 85.5 Rushing Yards
Miami vs. Texas A&M
QB Haynes King Passing Yards
One must pinpoint player prop bets for players that could potentially get replaced at some point during the game.
We have that precise scenario brewing in College Station. Jimbo Fisher and the Texas A&M offense faced questions all week after a disastrous performance against Appalachian State a week ago.
King threw for just 97 yards in the loss to the Mountaineers, and there is a potential option waiting on the bench in former LSU-transfer Max Johnson, who could step in should the ineffective play continue at the quarterback position.
The CFFSite’s projection calls for King to throw for 221 yards against Miami in a full four quarters.
King may not get a full four quarters.
Pick: Haynes King Under 228.5 Passing Yards
San Diego State vs. Utah
RB Tavion Thomas Fantasy Points
This is a prime example of the “over-correcting the overcorrections” mentioned in the opening stanza of this player props preview.
Thomas’ fantasy points line sunk to 16.5 points this week against San Diego State because of his light workday against Southern Utah: The senior back carried the rock just 11 times in a 73-7 blowout.
Still, Thomas topped this threshold in that game despite only playing one half of football. Furthermore, he has surpassed 16.5 fantasy points in each of the first two weeks.
Normally stout against the run under Brady Hoke, San Diego State ranks in the 74th percentile in EPA per Rush defensively, per CollegeFootballData.com. The Aztecs struggled in the opener against Arizona, allowing more than four yards per carry to a team that ranked 96th in rushing in 2021.
Utah’s strength is along the offensive line, returning three starters.