Colorado at UCLA Odds & Pick: Can Bruins Take Next Step Under Chip Kelly?

Colorado at UCLA Odds & Pick: Can Bruins Take Next Step Under Chip Kelly? article feature image

Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Chip Kelly

Colorado at UCLA Odds

  • Spread: UCLA -6.5
  • Over/Under: 64.5
  • Time: 9 p.m. ET
  • TV: Pac-12 Network

Odds via PointsBet, where Action Network users can access an exclusive promotion to get a 200% deposit match (deposit $50, bet with $150).

Don’t look now, but Chip Kelly’s UCLA is…improving?

The Bruins have scored 76 points combined in their last two games, a pair of wins over Stanford and then Arizona State.

The season-long metrics still aren’t flattering — they averaged only 4.9 yards per play against the Sun Devils despite scoring 42 points — but there’s signs of life from Kelly’s group.

Model Prediction for Colorado-UCLA

Collin Wilson’s power ratings can be used to project the point spread between any two teams. His full Week 10 projected point spreads are here. He also projected every over/under for Week 10.

  • Spread: UCLA -3
  • Total: 55

Wilson: The Key Matchup

We’ve been fans of UCLA the past few weeks because of defensive pressure and quarterback play. Dorian Thompson-Robinson went without interception against Arizona State, but was injured in the fourth quarter.

Even though it looks like he’ll play against Colorado, the Bruins are expected to continue to lean on the rush and star back Joshua Kelley.

Joshua Kelley WENT OFF tonight. 🔥

He scored 4️⃣ rushing TDs, the T-2️⃣nd most in @UCLAFootball single-game history. His career-high performance helped the Bruins beat the Sun Devils.

— Pac-12 Network (@Pac12Network) October 27, 2019

Colorado has a defensive rushing success rate rank of 124th, which should be exposed by UCLA.

With the ground game the focus for UCLA, the Buffaloes need to focus on finishing drives, which they haven’t done. Colorado is outside the top 100 in red zone points per attempt, but more importantly it is 107th in touchdowns per red zone trip.

Our Action Network totals projection come in at 55, giving value to the current number.

Taking a #Pac12AfterDark Under will not help ease your anxiety levels late on Saturday, but UCLA’s focus on running the ball and an incompetent red zone offense for Colorado have me on the under.

Pick: Under 65 [In New Jersey? Bet now at PointsBet]

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