Wilson: My Projected Odds for Every Week 10 College Football Game

Wilson: My Projected Odds for Every Week 10 College Football Game article feature image
Credit:

Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Jake Fromm

  • Collin Wilson has projected spreads for each game on the Week 10 college football slate.
  • Compare his spreads to current betting lines to find which games are offering value.

For a third consecutive week, the College Football Playoff landscape got rocked with a major upset. Oklahoma failed in a comeback attempt at Kansas State, led by fumbles and a wide receiver pass that turned into a Wildcats pick six. Credit goes to Kansas State, but the Big 12 may have disqualified itself from the national title picture.

Our Action Network power ratings have some big changes after processing the Week 9 boxscore data, as Oklahoma fell to No. 5 and Utah entered the top 10. Those changes are reflected in our projected odds for Week 10.

Ohio State, Clemson and the SEC champion are on track to qualify for the playoff, but the Sooners’ loss opens up the discussion for the Pac-12 or a second SEC team.

For now, we look ahead to Week 10. Every Sunday morning, we’ll project point spreads for the following week’s college football games using our power ratings so you can find early betting value.

Look here in preparation for opening lines and follow me in The Action Network App when I bet those lines on Sunday afternoon.


Odds as of Monday at 5:20 p.m. ET and via PointsBet, where Action Network users can access an exclusive promotion to get a 200% deposit match (deposit $50, bet with $150).


Projected College Football Odds, Week 10

A negative number indicates the home team is favored by that many points; a positive number indicates the home team is an underdog.

Week 10 Scheduling Notes

  • Oregon State, Ole Miss, Cincinnati, Georgia Tech, Virginia Tech, Boise State, Vanderbilt, UAB, UTSA, ULM, BYU, and Washington are all off a bye week.
  • Coastal Carolina comes off a bye week against Troy, which is on back-to-back travel.
  • UL Lafayette comes off a bye week against Texas State, which is on back-to-back travel.
  • West Virginia-Baylor, Georgia-Florida and NC State-Wake Forest will each face each other off a bye week.
  • Mississippi State, Akron, Miami, Virginia, Boston College, Liberty and Florida Atlantic will be on back-to-back travel.

[In New Jersey? Bet Week 10 college football now at PointsBet]

Week 9 Injury/Ejection Notes

  • San Jose State linebacker Jesse Osuna was ejected for targeting. He will miss the first half vs. Boise State.
  • Central Florida running back Adrian Killins left the game with a left shoulder injury. His status for Houston is unknown.
  • LSU safety Grant Delpit and cornerback Derek Stingley Jr. each left the game with an undisclosed injury. Their status is unknown for Alabama in two weeks.
  • Kentucky quarterback Lynn Bowden Jr. left the game for an undisclosed injury with Sawyer Smith under center in his absence. Bowden Jr. returned to the game to finish with over 200 yards on the ground.

Week 10 Situational Spots to Play

  • Army will start its defense of the Commander-in-Chief’s Trophy against Air Force. The Black Knights defense ranked 98th Line Yards and 99th in Stuff Rate entering Week 9. Both categories need improvement against a triple-option attack like the Falcons
  • Auburn is in a top 10 sandwich, losing to LSU with overlook to Georgia in Week 11. Ole Miss is projected as an 18-point underdog.
  • Charlotte comes off a miraculous comeback in Week 9 to host Middle Tennessee. The Blue Raiders blanked Florida International in the second half on Saturday.

  • Both Kansas and Kansas State may start slow off an upset victory. The Wildcats were 23.5-underdogs to Oklahoma, while the Jayhawks were 6.5-point underdogs.

  • Mike Locksley and Josh Gattis both worked on the Alabama offensive staff in 2018. Maryland gets Michigan off a primetime blowout win of Notre Dame.
  • SMU entered Week 9 top 20 in defensive havoc, while Memphis entered bottom 15 in havoc allowed.
  • Tennessee may have overlook to Kentucky when the Vols host UAB.

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