2019 Heisman Odds Tracker: Justin Fields Quietly Moving Up

Sep 17, 2019 09:20 PM EDT
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Joseph Maiorana-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Justin Fields

  • After Week 3, there are five quarterbacks with single-digit odds to win the Heisman Trophy.
  • LSU's Joe Burrow has worked his way into the conversation at 9/2 after opening 100/1, while Ohio State's Justin Fields is moving up quietly.

Entering the season, the Heisman race looked like Trevor Lawrence and Tua Tagovailoa vs. everyone else. A few high-profile quarterbacks on elite teams trailed those two.

Now, we’ve got a new quarterback joining the fray — LSU’s Joe Burrow, who opened at 200/1 earlier this year and was 25/1 entering Week 2. He’s now 9/2, the third betting choice behind Tagovailoa and Oklahoma’s Jalen Hurts.

Burrow has been a marvel in LSU’s new spread offense, throwing for 749 yards with 9 touchdowns through two games. That included 471 yards against Texas on Saturday.

Ohio State quarterback Justin Fields has also been moving up, albeit at a slower clip since he opened at 12/1. He’s down to 8/1 after post 13 total touchdowns, no interceptions and 8.9 yards per attempt through three blowout wins.

2019 Heisman Odds Tracker

Odds as of Sept. 16 via Westgate SuperBook

Biggest Heisman Movers, Preseason

Several players have seen their odds improve throughout the summer — mainly quarterbacks.

  • Joe Burrow, LSU QB (200/1 to 40/1)
  • Jake Fromm, UGA QB (40/1 to 18/1)
  • Khalil Tate, Arizona QB (100/1 to 40/1)
  • Sam Ehlinger, Texas QB (40/1 to 20/1)

In accompanying moves, Westgate moved several quarterbacks toward the top of the board down. These are still three of the top five betting choices on the board, though.

A handful of skill position players also saw their odds fall.

  • Justin Fields, Ohio State QB (6/1 to 12/1)
  • Adrian Martinez, Nebraska QB (6/1 to 10/1)
  • Jalen Hurts, Oklahoma QB (6/1 to 12/1)
  • Jerry Jeudy, Alabama WR (30/1 to 80/1)
  • Jonathan Taylor, Wisconsin RB (15/1 to 25/1)

Who Can Win the Heisman?

Well, anyone can win the Heisman. But there are a few key qualifications you should have. We wrote about them last year and Collin Wilson gave out some of his favorite bets for this year.

Be a quarterback or running back

You should really be a quarterback, though. A signal caller has won every Heisman Trophy but five since 1998, and only three since 2000.

Play at a Power 5 school

In the BCS/College Football Playoff era (since 1998), no Group of 5 player (MAC, AAC, Sun Belt, Mountain West, Conference USA currently) has won it.

Win 9 games, but hopefully more

In the BCS/CFP era, only one Heisman winner has won fewer than nine games, and that was Ricky Williams in 1998 on an 8-3 Texas team. Oh, and he set the NCAA record for rushing yards.

Only three Heisman winners since 1998 won fewer than 10.

Put up an eye-popping statistical profile

Yards per play and other efficiency metrics aren’t counted here. It’s about raw, eye-popping statistical numbers.

Heisman Betting History

SportsOddsHistory.com has data going back to 2009, when Mark Ingram took home the Heisman.

Many players didn’t have odds listed preseason because they came out of nowhere — Jameis Winston and Johnny Manziel among them.

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