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Miami (OH) vs Akron Odds, Picks | How to Bet This MAC Showdown

Miami (OH) vs Akron Odds, Picks | How to Bet This MAC Showdown article feature image
Credit:

Icon Sportswire/Getty. Pictured: Grant Gainer (Akron)

  • Miami (OH) and Akron face off in a battle in Ohio as part of college football's Week 9 slate.
  • This is a duel between two teams at the bottom of the MAC East division standings.
  • Matt Wispe breaks down the matchup and offers up his best bet.

Miami (OH) vs Akron Odds

Saturday, Oct. 29
12 p.m. ET
ESPN+
Miami (OH) Odds
Spread Total Moneyline
-7.5
-110
50.5
-108o / -112u
-320
Akron Odds
Spread Total Moneyline
+7.5
-110
50.5
-108o / -112u
+255
Odds via FanDuel. Get up-to-the-minute college football odds here.

Miami (OH) travels to Akron for a noon ET conference game. This matchup features two teams at the bottom of the MAC East standings and could determine which team will finish last in the conference.

Miami (OH) enters this game with a 3-5 record and is coming off of a home loss to Western Michigan. The RedHawks are 3-5 against the spread and have gone under in seven of eight games this season.

Akron comes into this game with a 1-7 record and is riding a seven-game losing streak since beating St. Francis in its season opener. The Zips are 4-4 against the spread and have gone under in four games.

It will be a cool fall day in Akron with forecasted temperatures ranging from 48 to 61 degrees, but there shouldn’t be any weather conditions affecting the game.


Miami RedHawks

With its 3-5 overall record and 1-3 record in conference play, Miami (OH) is fifth in the MAC East standings.

The RedHawks are averaging 18.5 points per game and 4.9 yards per play. They have a 34% Success Rate and average just three points per opportunity. One major concern for Miami (OH) is its 32% Havoc Rate Allowed.

Aveon Smith has been an adequate substitution for the injured Brett Gabbert, but his strengths are more as a runner than passer. He is completing 52.5% of his passes for an average of 6.0 yards per attempt. He’s thrown seven touchdowns and four interceptions.

As a team, Miami has a 37% Passing Success Rate and it has averaged 1.6 20+ yard passes per game.

Miami (OH) has heavily leaned on its running game with 38 rush attempts per game. Keyon Mozee leads the RedHawks in rushing attempts and yards. He has 376 yards, but has only scored one time.

Miami (OH) averages 4.2 yards per attempt and has a 32% Rushing Success Rate. The RedHawks’ offensive line generates an average of 2.82 Line Yards per attempt and has allowed a 20.1% Stuff Rate.

Miami (OH)’s defense is the best unit on the field in this game. It allows an average of 23 points per game and 4.9 yards per play. Its 28% Havoc Rate leads the nation, and it has allowed an average of 3.5 20+ yard plays per game.

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Akron Zips

Joe Moorhead’s first season as head coach isn’t going as planned. The Zips are averaging 19.8 points per game and 4.9 yards per play. They have a 41% Success Rate and average 3.11 points per opportunity.

Similar to Miami, they’ve struggled to reduce Havoc with their 27% Havoc Rate Allowed.

Whether they’re passing more due to game script or because of an intentional game plan, the Zips’ offense has averaged 42.5 pass attempts per game.

DJ Irons is completing 67.5% of his passes for an average of 7.0 yards per attempt. He’s thrown eight touchdowns and five interceptions.

As a team, the Zips have a 41% Passing Success Rate and average 3.38 20+ yard passes per game.

Akron is averaging 31.4 rush attempts per game for an average of 2.3 yards per attempt. Irons leads the team with 110 rush attempts for 224 yards and four touchdowns.

Clyde Price and Cam Wiley each have 60+ rush attempts, but both are averaging under 3.5 yards per attempt.

As a unit, Akron has a 42% Rushing Success Rate. Its line has averaged 3.05 Line Yards per attempt and has allowed a 16.7% Stuff Rate.


Miami (OH) vs Akron Matchup Analysis

Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how Miami (OH) and Akron match up statistically:

Miami (OH) Offense vs. Akron Defense
Offense
Defense
Edge
Rush Success 129 110
Line Yards 72 89
Pass Success 109 129
Pass Blocking** 101 101
Havoc 108 128
Finishing Drives 119 129
** Pass Blocking (Off.) vs. Pass Rush (Def.)

Akron Offense vs. Miami (OH) Defense
Offense
Defense
Edge
Rush Success 85 23
Line Yards 91 31
Pass Success 77 74
Pass Blocking** 86 95
Havoc 127 70
Finishing Drives 117 26
** Pass Blocking (Off.) vs. Pass Rush (Def.)

Pace of Play / Other
PFF Tackling 83 123
PFF Coverage 96 128
SP+ Special Teams 72 129
Seconds per Play 29.7 (123) 25.3 (38)
Rush Rate 61.0% (17) 42.5% (125)
Data via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD), FootballOutsiders, SP+, Pro Football Focus and SportSource Analytics.

Miami (OH) vs Akron Betting Pick

It appears that bettors are backing the RedHawks in this matchup, with 50% of the bets and 67% of the money coming in on Miami (OH).

Miami (OH) has an advantage in all of the key statistics, but personally, I find its offense too inconsistent to back.

My preferred play is on the total. Miami’s defense and pace are the keys to this play. I’m playing under 48.5, and I would take it as low as 45.

Pick: Under 48.5 (Play to 45)

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