The Navy Midshipmen take on the North Texas Mean Green in Denton, Texas. Kickoff is set for 12:00 p.m. EDT on ESPN2.
North Texas is favored by 6.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -240. The total is set at 65.5 points.
Here’s my Navy vs. North Texas predictions and college football picks for Saturday, November 1, 2025.
Navy vs North Texas Prediction
- Navy vs. North Texas Pick: Navy TT Over 28.5 (-120, DraftKings)
My North Texas vs. Navy best bet is on Navy's Team Total Over. Find the best line available on our live NCAAF odds page.
Navy vs North Texas Odds
| Navy Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+6.5 -110 | 65.5 -110o / -110u | +195 |
| North Texas Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-6.5 -110 | 65.5 -110o / -110u | -240 |
- Navy vs North Texas point spread: North Texas -6.5 (-110), Navy +6.5 (-110)
- Navy vs North Texas over/under: 65.5 (-110o / -110u)
- Navy vs North Texas moneyline: Navy +195, North Texas -240
Navy vs North Texas Pick
The concern for Navy is that the Mids allow yards and points through the air in bunches. They’ve allowed over 450 yards and 30 points in each of the past three weeks. They were lucky to beat Temple a few weeks back, and they struggled with Tulsa for three quarters before pulling away.
North Texas has an elite offense. I’m super impressed with quarterback Drew Mestemaker, who should feast against Navy’s secondary, which ranks 113th nationally in Pass Explosiveness allowed, 106th in EPA per Pass allowed, and 128th in Early Downs Explosiveness allowed.
The Mean Green will score on Saturday, but can they stop Navy’s offense?
I don’t think so. Army wore down North Texas’ front a few weeks back, as the Mean Green were unable to stop any of the triple-option elements (fullback dive, quarterback follow, sweep, etc.).
Over the past five weeks, North Texas has allowed 438 yards and 33 points per game.
Navy is an excellent third-down and red-zone offense. The Mids rank sixth nationally in Success Rate and fifth in EPA per Play.
I’m a little hesitant about the full-game Over, but I fully expect Navy to eclipse four touchdowns in this game.
The Mids have scored at least 28 points in all but one game this season. They should match North Texas score for score. If they have the lead in the fourth quarter, it’s likely because they’ve already scored 30 points. If they fall behind early, they’ll have to increase the tempo, which they’re happy to do.
Navy keeps this game tight by scoring efficiently.
Pick: Navy TT Over 28.5 (-120, DraftKings)
