Florida Gators Odds

Florida Gators 2025 Season Preview

The Florida Gators enter the 2025 college football season with plenty to prove. After a frustrating 5–7 finish in 2024, head coach Billy Napier is officially on the hot seat heading into Year 3. Florida hasn’t posted a winning record since 2020 and failed to reach a bowl game last season for the second year in a row.

The Gators will face another brutal schedule in the SEC, with showdowns against Georgia, Tennessee, LSU, Texas, and a November finale against Florida State. The season kicks off with a nationally anticipated matchup versus Miami at The Swamp. Quarterback Graham Mertz returns for his final season, alongside key weapons like Eugene Wilson III and Montrell Johnson Jr., giving Florida a familiar core on offense. But for the Gators to take a leap forward, the defense must drastically improve after finishing near the bottom of the SEC in points allowed.

Oddsmakers are keeping expectations modest—Florida enters the season as a middle-of-the-pack SEC squad, priced as an underdog in most key matchups and carrying long odds in futures markets.

Florida Gators Point Spreads

The Gators are expected to be underdogs in several major matchups throughout the 2025 campaign. Florida’s most anticipated spread bets will come in SEC play and rivalry games, where oddsmakers will factor in both home-field advantage and Florida’s inconsistent performance under Napier.

Here’s what a 2025 Gators spread might look like:

• Florida +7.5 (-110) vs. Florida State
• Georgia -10.5 (-110) vs. Florida

In these examples, a Gators win or loss by seven or fewer covers the spread in the rivalry game. Florida’s ability to cover spreads hinges heavily on its defense limiting explosive plays—something they struggled with last season.

Betting trends to watch:

• Florida was 6-6 ATS in 2024
• The Gators covered just 2 of their last 6 SEC games
• Florida fared better as an underdog than a favorite

Florida Gators Over/Unders

Totals markets (over/under bets) for Gators games will reflect their up-tempo offense and a defense that’s still rebuilding. Florida averaged 26.5 points per game in 2024 while giving up 29.9 points per game, making them a common target for high-total matchups.

A typical over/under might look like this:

• Florida vs. LSU – O/U 54.5
• Florida vs. Kentucky – O/U 47.0

If you're betting overs, the health of Mertz and the explosiveness of the receiving corps will be critical. Unders could hit more often in matchups where Florida’s defense can pressure opposing quarterbacks.

Trends to consider:

• Florida hit the over in 7 of 12 games in 2024
• Higher-scoring shootouts came in non-conference and rivalry games

Florida Gators Moneylines

Moneyline betting on Florida is all about timing. The Gators will likely be favorites in matchups like Vanderbilt or South Carolina but will be priced as significant underdogs against SEC elites like Georgia and Alabama.

Example moneylines:

• Florida -185 vs. UCF
• Florida +245 vs. Texas

At +245, a $10 bet returns $24.50 in profit if Florida pulls the upset. These odds reflect both Florida’s volatility and the quality of their opponents. Be on the lookout for line movement as injury news and depth chart shifts impact each week’s moneyline markets.

Florida Gators Props

Player prop bets are expected to center around quarterback Graham Mertz, who threw for 2,903 yards and 20 TDs in 2024, and Eugene Wilson III, who enters the year as Florida’s top receiving threat. Bettors will also find value in rushing props for Montrell Johnson Jr., especially in matchups against weaker run defenses.

Popular Gators prop types:

• Mertz over/under 240.5 passing yards
• Johnson anytime TD scorer (+110)
• Wilson longest reception over/under 28.5 yards

As the season progresses, emerging players and injury replacements will shift the prop landscape week-to-week, offering sharp bettors plenty of angles.

Florida Gators Futures

In futures markets, expectations remain muted. Florida is currently +6000 to win the SEC, placing them well behind powerhouses like Georgia (+220), Alabama (+275), and Texas (+400). Their 2025 win total is set at 6.5 wins at most major sportsbooks, with the over slightly juiced at -115.

Other Florida futures to watch:

• To Make the College Football Playoff: +5000
• To Win National Championship: +15000 
• Eugene Wilson III Heisman Odds: +20000 

There’s longshot value if you believe in a Year 3 breakthrough under Napier—but it’s a gamble. The more realistic play might be the win total market, where a 7–5 season feels like the upper range of realistic expectations barring a breakout.