Projected Week 1 Spreads & Adjusted Win Totals for Every SEC Team After Updated Schedule Release

Credit:

David John Griffin/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images.

No college football fan wants news about their program during the month of August. Quarterback competition, scheme adjustments mixed with suspension, and injury news flow through the news cycle.

Taking the motto “no news is good news” generally applies in August. That changed on Monday afternoon, as the SEC released its first week of conference games.

Week Game, Spread
Week 1 Texas A&M -37 vs. Vanderbilt
Week 1 LSU -26 vs. Mississippi State
Week 1 Georgia -24 at Arkansas
Week 1 Alabama -19.5 at Missouri
Week 1 Auburn -11 vs. Kentucky
Week 1 Florida -8 at Ole Miss
Week 1 South Carolina PK vs. Tennessee

Later Monday night, the SEC released its full-season schedule via the SEC Network:

The SEC has been the leader in keeping a 2020 season alive, along with the ACC and Big 12. From a non-Power Five perspective the Sun Belt, American, Conference USA and a few independents remain dedicated to fall football.

As Justin Fields’ campaign collects more than 200,000 signatures to save a Big Ten season, South Alabama and Southern Miss are in full prep for a Sept. 3 football game.

I’ve updated my SEC win totals now that we’ve got a clearer picture of the schedule.

These numbers reflect the 10-game season only, and will not include projections for any games outside of the SEC.

SEC Win Totals


SEC East

Georgia takes top honors in our projected win totals with the addition of Mississippi State and Arkansas to the schedule, two teams expected to fill the basement of the West.

The return of every offensive lineman, experienced receiving core and a new offensive coordinator should jumpstart the Bulldogs. Florida is power rated closely with Georgia, but a road trip to Texas A&M increases the strength of schedule.

Two teams similar in power rating, offensive returning production and success rate rank on both sides of the ball are Tennessee and Kentucky. The Volunteers draw a road trip to Jordan-Hare while the Wildcats gain a trip to Bryant-Denny. The battle for third place in the East will likely come down to their head-to-head game in Knoxville.


SEC West

Say goodbye to the cupcake schedule Texas A&M obtained through the month of September and October. Florida rolls on to the Aggies’ schedule along with a trip to Tennessee. While my power ratings were high on Jimbo Fisher contending in the West, Alabama remains the alpha with Kentucky and Missouri added to the schedule.

LSU may have won the COVID reshuffle sweepstakes with Missouri and Vanderbilt added to the schedule. The Tigers return just 30% of the national championship offense after the departure of Joe Burrow and passing game coordinator Joe Brady. This is still a deeply talented team, as the market may shift enough for favorable betting numbers on coach Orgeron’s team.

Bo Nix season will be in full effect as Auburn draws additional games with Tennessee and South Carolina. That is manageable for Gus Malzahn and his new offensive coordinator Chad Morris. The issue with Auburn in 2020 is a returning production number of 60% on both sides of the ball. The Tigers will lack experience in the trenches, especially.

The air raid offense comes to Starkville, but a schedule full of NFL talent secondaries await Mike Leach. Alabama, LSU and Auburn will be yearly staples, but in 2020 Mississippi State adds Georgia to the schedule. Arkansas is projected to win less than a single game, with the Razorbacks’ best chance coming against Missouri.

Expect a trip to Columbia to serve as a Super Bowl for head coach Sam Pittman and defensive coordinator/former Missouri head coach Barry Odom.

How would you rate this article?

Top Offers

Odds Boosts
See More >
Odds boosts are simply regular bets offered at enticing odds. They're available to everyone and there's no limit to how many you can bet.
Sportsbook Reviews
See More >
Discover the best online sports betting sites and take advantage of bonus offers from legal sportsbooks.
Expert Picks
See More >
See what plays the Action Network experts are making for all of today's games.
PRO Membership
See More >
Access betting systems and signals to get daily, actionable picks.
Download the App
See More >
Download the Action app to track all your bets in one place. Exclusive data helped you make smarter betting decisions.
Newsletter
See More >
The best sports betting newsletter with trends, insights and news - condensed in a two-minute read.
Live Odds
See More >
See live odds and the best lines for every game.

Follow Us On Social

Top Stories