The South Alabama Jaguars take on the Texas State Bobcats in San Marcos, Texas. Kickoff is set for 3:00 p.m. EST on ESPN+.
Texas State is favored by 9.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -340. The total is set at 62.5 points.
Here’s my South Alabama vs. Texas State prediction and college football picks for Saturday, November 29, 2025.
South Alabama vs Texas State Prediction
- South Alabama vs. Texas State Pick: South Alabama ML (+270, bet365)
My Texas State vs. South Alabama best bet is on the Jaguars to win outright. Find the best line available on our live NCAAF odds page.
South Alabama vs Texas State Odds
| S. Alabama Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+9.5 -110 | 62.5 -110o / -110u | +270 |
| Texas St Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-9.5 -110 | 62.5 -110o / -110u | -340 |
- South Alabama vs Texas State point spread: Texas State -9.5 (-110), South Alabama +9.5 (-110)
- South Alabama vs Texas State over/under: 62.5 (-110o / -110u)
- South Alabama vs Texas State moneyline: South Alabama +270, Texas State -340
South Alabama vs Texas State Pick
This game triggered one of our Action PRO betting systems, powered by Evan Abrams.
In college football, underdogs thrive when the betting line moves against them.
When spreads shift by several points from open to close, it often reflects heavy public or sharp money fading the dog, inflating the line, and creating hidden value on the moneyline.
In games where the spread is moderate to large, between 4 and just over 13, these underdogs are often overlooked but capable of outright wins.
The inflated perception of the favorite can lead to mispriced odds, and the contrarian angle looks to capitalize on those rare moments when the market has overcorrected.
This season, underdogs that fit this profile are 35-58 outright, a 38% win rate that has generated a 28% ROI.
Pick: South Alabama ML (+270, bet365)
