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Tennessee vs. Purdue Odds, Date: Opening Spread, Total for 2021 Music City Bowl

Tennessee vs. Purdue Odds, Date: Opening Spread, Total for 2021 Music City Bowl article feature image

Zach Bolinger/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images. Pictured: David Bell.

Tennessee vs. Purdue Odds

Tennessee Odds -1
Purdue Odds +1
Over/Under 58.5
Date Dec. 30
Location Nissan Stadium in Nashville, Tennessee

Tennessee is set to take on Purdue in the Music City Bowl on Dec. 30 at Nissan Stadium in Nashville, Tennessee. Find our expert’s projected odds, a recap of each team’s seasons, plus more information on the Music City Bowl below.

Tennessee vs. Purdue Projected Odds

Tennessee Spread -4
Purdue Spread +4
Over/Under 62.8

These Tennessee vs. Purdue projections are based on Collin Wilson’s college football power ratings, which help power our PRO Projections — they compare all of his projections to real-time college football odds in order to easily identify betting edges.

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How Tennessee Reached the Music City Bowl

Tennessee became a completely different team when it permanently switched from Joe Milton to Hendon Hooker under center after the Florida game on Sept. 25. From that point on, the Volunteers went 5-3 with losses to Alabama, Ole Miss and Georgia, none of which they should be embarrassed by.

Head coach Josh Heupel showed in one season that he could be the guy to lead Tennessee to the promised land. Of course, it may take him a bit more time to fully develop the program into his team.

Heupel took a time that was ranked 109th of 128 in scoring offense last season (21.5 points per game) to 21st in the nation this season (38.8).

Hooker was really, really good for the Vols ever since taking over as the starter. He threw for 2,567 yards, 26 touchdowns and just three interceptions. Tennessee’s top pass catcher is Cedric Tillman, who had 931 receiving yards and nine touchdowns.

The Vols finished with a 5-7 record against the spread.

How Purdue Reached the Music City Bowl

Few teams in the country were better at Purdue in the passing game — on both sides of the ball.

Quarterback Aidan O’Connell led the nation’s eighth-ranked unit in yards per game through the air (340.8), while the Boilermakers’ secondary was just outside the top 20.

Purdue filled bettors’ pockets down the stretch, covering four of the final five.

Head coach Jeff Brohm was particularly excellent in the underdog role, upsetting three teams: Nebraska, and a couple of then-Top-5 programs in Michigan State and Iowa.

The 8-4 clip is the best so far for Brohm, who took the position in 2017.

Tennessee vs. Purdue Matchup Analysis

Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how Tennessee and Purdue match up statistically:

Tennessee Offense vs. Purdue Defense
Rush Success 20 37
Line Yards 17 38
Pass Success 35 20
Pass Blocking** 109 55
Big Play 31 69
Havoc 30 22
Finishing Drives 30 34
** Pass Blocking (Off.) vs. Pass Rush (Def.)

Purdue Offense vs. Tennessee Defense
Rush Success 128 54
Line Yards 105 89
Pass Success 8 63
Pass Blocking** 40 116
Big Play 27 90
Havoc 37 43
Finishing Drives 59 104
** Pass Blocking (Off.) vs. Pass Rush (Def.)

Pace of Play / Other
PFF Tackling 86 32
Coverage 67 91
Middle 8 67 57
SP+ Special Teams 9 118
Plays per Minute 1 100
Rush Rate 60.6% (24) 40.5% (125)

Data via College Football Data, FootballOutsiders, SP+, PFF and SportSource Analytics.

Music City Bowl Date, Time, TV, More Info

  • Date: Dec. 30
  • Time: 3 p.m. ET
  • Location: Nissan Stadium in Nashville, Tennessee
  • TV Info: ESPN

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