The Texas A&M Aggies take on the LSU Tigers in Baton Rouge, Louisiana, on Saturday, Oct. 25. Kickoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET on ABC.
Texas A&M is favored by 2.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -140. LSU, meanwhile, comes in as a +2.5 underdog and is +120 on the moneyline to pull off the upset. The over/under sits at 47.5 total points.
Here’s my Texas A&M vs. LSU prediction and college football picks for Saturday, October 25.
Texas A&M Aggies vs LSU Tigers Prediction, Picks
- Texas A&M vs. LSU Pick: Over 47.5 or Better · KC Concepcion Anytime TD (+140)
My LSU vs. Texas A&M best bet is on both teams to go over the total and Aggies wide receiver KC Concepcion to score a touchdown. Find the best line available on our live NCAAF odds page.
Texas A&M vs LSU Odds, Lines, Spread
| Texas A&M Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-2.5 -115 | 49 -110o / -110u | -135 |
| LSU Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+2.5 -105 | 49.5 -110o / -110u | +115 |
- Texas A&M vs LSU Spread: Texas A&M -2.5, LSU +2.5
- Texas A&M vs LSU Over/Under: 49 Total Points
- Texas A&M vs LSU Moneyline: Texas A&M ML -135, LSU ML +115
Texas A&M vs LSU NCAAF Preview
Texas A&M Aggies
The Aggies will hit the road for a second consecutive week after a win over Arkansas in Fayetteville, now taking a pit stop in Baton Rouge in an effort to stay undefeated.
Texas A&M struggled to put Arkansas away, failing to cover a touchdown spread in a three-point win. The Razorbacks averaged 11.2 yards per play on 28 rushing attempts and another 13.1 yards per play in 21 passing downs.
After a stint of games with minimal missed tackles, poor fundamentals have redeveloped on this Aggies defense. Texas A&M ranks 115th in tackle grading thanks to 25 combined missed tackles against Arkansas and Florida.
Any opposing offense that has a pulse on the ground has given the Aggies defensive issues, as Mike Elko's defense ranks 134th in rush explosives allowed.
The great news for a defense that has gaps is an offense that ranks second nationally in Havoc allowed.
Quarterback Marcel Reed continues to excel with 15 passing touchdowns and four interceptions, pitching in an additional 195 yards from scrambles.
The zone read concept has been carried by running back Rueben Owens II, but the tandem of wide receivers Mario Craver and KC Concepcion can produce College Football Playoff victories.
Craver runs primarily from the slot, averaging a supernova explosive mark of 4.3 yards per route run.
LSU Tigers
LSU continues to struggle with mobile quarterbacks after a recent defeat at the hands of Vanderbilt and Diego Pavia.
Ole Miss signal-caller Trinidad Chambliss produced over 300 yards of passing and 71 yards on the ground in the Tigers' first loss of the season on Sept. 27.
For the struggles against the run, LSU has been fantastic against the pass with a mix of man and Cover 1. The Tigers rank top-25 in limiting pass explosives and defensive quality drives.
Defensive coordinator Blake Baker's 2-5-4 comes in one of the highest-graded coverage defenses, producing a higher level of success in passing downs.
The biggest callout is Virginia Tech transfer cornerback Mansoor Delane, who has posted seven pass breakups and an interception on the season.
Meanwhile, head coach Brian Kelly has chosen to deflect post-game questions about a rush offense that ranks 112th in Success Rate.
The Tigers have been lousy with outside zone and man blocking concepts, leading to one of the highest marks of passing downs in FBS.
Quarterback Garrett Nussmeier continues to carry the offense through his arm, more than doubling his touchdown and big-time throw numbers compared to interceptions and turnover-worthy plays.
The difference between this LSU team and the 2024 squad is the mistakes, as pass-catchers hold a 9.4% drop rate — up from 6.4% a season ago.
Texas A&M vs LSU NCAAF Pick to Make
LSU has struggled with mobile quarterbacks, but Reed has accumulated 71% of his rushing yards on scrambles. The Tigers rank 90th in producing a pass rush, which may lead to better efficiency with a secondary going against Craver and Concepcion.
The LSU defense has shut down opponents using wide receiver screens and slants. The bulk of Craver's catches come from those routes, so Reed may have to hit Concepcion on crossing routes for explosive plays and red-zone attempts.
LSU has struggled mightily against crossing routes, allowing a big play on every other attempt.
Beyond a prop wager on Concepcion, there's data that shows each team can score 24 points.
The Texas A&M defense has regressed in tackling and explosives allowed, while ranking 135th in Finishing Drives allowed. Opponents that cross the Aggies' 40-yard line are averaging 4.9 points per trip.
LSU has had similar struggles, ranking 96th in Finishing Drives allowed.
Pick: Over 47.5 or Better · KC Concepcion Anytime TD (+140)
Texas A&M vs LSU Betting Trends to Know
