UConn vs UMass Odds, Prediction: The Moneyline Bet to Make
Sam Wasson/Getty Images. Pictured: UMass’ Taisun Phommachanh.
UConn Huskies vs UMass Minutemen Odds
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Rivalry Week takes us to Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium in Amherst, Massachusetts, where the University of Massachusetts Minutemen welcome in the University of Connecticut Huskies.
This rivalry has been pretty even as the teams have split the past four matchups. This one also figures to be close, so let's make a UConn vs. UMass prediction.
UConn went 6-7 last year and has taken a step back this season. The Huskies won last week over Sacred Heart to snap a four-game skid and coach Jim Mora will look to get his guys to finish the season strong.
UConn's offense has been awful all season and is averaging just 18 points per game.
The Huskies rank 114th in Offensive Success Rate and don't particularly succeed with either the pass or the run.
However, quarterback Ta’Quan Roberson has proven to be a bit of a bright spot with his ability to make big plays. The Huskies rank 56th in pass play explosiveness and will need to hit a few of them this week in order to win on the road.
The Huskies defense is horrendous. They allow 30.9 points per game and rank 133rd against the pass and 85th against the run.
Pass-heavy teams have been able to carve up UConn's secondary, and I'd expect UMass to also have success through the air. The bright spot for this defense is that it makes the opposition beat it with a steady attack.
UConn ranks 35th in explosiveness and will need to continue to limit the big plays.
The Minutemen have improved upon their 1-11 record from a year ago, but not by much. Winning this week would help continue to push this program forward under head coach Don Brown, who took over as head coach in November 2021.
The offense has been okay, but not great.
UMass averages 23.6 points per game and is led by running back Kay’Ron Lynch-Adams, who has rushed for 1,106 yards on an impressive 5.1 yards per carry. UConn’s defensive strength is against the run, but Lynch-Adams should be able to carve out some space and get consistent yardage.
Defensively, UMass needs a lot of work. The Minutemen allow 38.5 points per game, so they'll need to rely on their rushing attack and slow this game down. UMass' defense ranks 132nd in Success Rate and lacks the ability to limit the big play, coming in at 90th in explosiveness and 89th in Havoc.
Both of these defenses struggle, so I think UMass will lean into its rushing attack and try to slow this game down. UMass has the better offense, so I'll back the Minutemen in this one and bet them to defend home turf.