The last Havoc Rankings of the season end with many of the same teams that led from the first pole position check.
Indiana continues to be the safest offense in terms of ball discipline, while also ranking as the most Havoc-minded defense in all of FBS.
From a non-Power 4 perspective, UConn continues to play flawless ball offensively with minimal turnovers and negative plays. Meanwhile, there's a multi-team race for the best Defensive Havoc team in the Group of Five between James Madison, Old Dominion, East Carolina and Toledo.
For those unfamiliar, Havoc is the collection of stats that can derail offensive momentum on the defensive side of the ball, including tackles for loss, pass breakups, forced fumbles, interceptions and sacks.
Havoc allowed, meanwhile, is a stat used to quantify an offense's ability to avoid chaos that creates a negative play. Offenses that are elite in Havoc allowed have a low number of fumbles, interceptions and tackles for loss allowed.
Let's take a look at our Week 13 college football predictions for UConn vs. FAU and Week 13 Havoc Rankings for the upcoming week.
Week 13 College Football Predictions, Havoc Rankings
UConn vs. FAU Odds, Picks
| UConn Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-7 -115 | 66 -110o / -110u | -270 |
| FAU Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+7 -105 | 66 -110o / -110u | +220 |
Defensive Havoc: UConn 76th · FAU 109th
Havoc Allowed: UConn 1st · South Carolina 107th
The safest offense outside of the Power 4 level is UConn, led by quarterback Joe Fagnano.
The seventh-year former Maine transfer has an elite 25 touchdowns to just one interception, more than tripling his big-time throws to turnover-worthy plays.
The rest of the Huskies' offense has played as safe, ranking top-20 in tackles for loss allowed.
More importantly, no team has fumbled the ball less than UConn, which has just three the entire season. Head coach Jim Mora's team is +12 in net turnover margin thanks to 14 takeaways compared to two turnovers.
Florida Atlantic will play host in Week 13, but don't expect any chaotic plays against the UConn offense.
The Owls rank 109th in Defensive Havoc, coming in at 90th in forced fumbles and outside the top 100 in passes defensed. With a contested catch rate in the bottom half of FBS, Fagnano should have a clear path to getting UConn into scoring position.
The other side of the ball favors UConn, as the Florida Atlantic offense sits 107th in Havoc allowed. The Owls are a pass-first team unable to take advantage of a Huskies defense that has had issues defending the run.
UConn has a much better defense against the pass and tends to limit explosives in standard downs.
Pick: UConn -7.5 or Better
