Best NFL Bets Today | 10 Kalshi NFL Predictions for Week 10 (Kalshi Promo Code ACTION55)

The best NFL bets today come from a five-game Sunday board on Kalshi, and the Kalshi promo code (ACTION55) lets new users trade $25 and get a $55 bonus on top.

• The slate runs from Vikings vs. Packers at 1:00 PM ET to Steelers vs. Bengals at 8:20 PM ET, with first place in the AFC North on the line at night.
• Our 10 picks are five spreads and five totals. We skipped the moneylines because the five favorites cost 59¢ to 73¢ for a small payout.

Here is our full picks table from the best prediction markets before we break down every game, with our NFL predictions listed in kickoff order.

Read our dedicated Kalshi review to learn more, or check out NFL prediction market promos for other platforms.

Best NFL Bets Today: Our Top Kalshi Picks for Week 10 Sunday

Every pick below is a real trade we'd make on Kalshi, part of our best NFL bets today for the five games on the board. Not sure where to trade? Start with the best NFL prediction market apps.

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These picks are built on Kalshi prices as they stand now, and they can shift if lines move before kickoff. Check the latest NFL odds and the NFL injury report before you trade.

Vikings vs Packers Prediction

Vikings vs. Packers is the biggest market on the board, with more than $3.2 million traded on Kalshi.

It's the first Packers-Vikings meeting in Week 10 or earlier where both teams arrived with six or more wins. Kickoff is at 1:00 PM ET at Lambeau Field on FOX.

Best Spread Pick Today: Packers -2.5

Green Bay hosts Minnesota at Lambeau Field, and Kalshi has the Packers at -2.5. That's a point shorter than the 3.5 sportsbooks listed earlier this week, so the 54¢ Yes price is for the cheaper number.

Kyler Murray was listed as not expected to play with a Grade 2 hamstring strain. The Vikings offense sits 31st in the NFL in EPA per play and scored six points in Monday's loss to Buffalo. Green Bay is 6-3 and gets this one at home.

At a 54¢ average price, a $100 buy works out to roughly 185 shares, and the ticket shows an est. return of $185.19.

• If Green Bay wins by three or more: Est. return of $185.19.
• If not: the $100 stake is a total loss.

A return of about 1.85x on the home team against an offense that can't move the ball.

Best Total Pick Today: Under 41.5

Minnesota has scored 15 and 6 points in its last two games, a loss to Detroit and then a loss to Buffalo. With Murray not expected back, the Vikings have few ways to push this total.

The No side on the Over pays a little better than a coin flip at 48¢, and 41.5 is one of the lowest totals on the slate.

At a 48¢ average price, a $100 buy works out to roughly 208 shares, and the ticket shows an est. return of $208.33.

• If the game finishes with 41 or fewer total points: Est. return of $208.33.
• If not: the $100 stake is a total loss.

A return of about 2.1x on a total that leans on Minnesota's scoring slump.

Chiefs vs Falcons Prediction

Kansas City visits Atlanta at 1:00 PM ET on CBS at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, with about $1.5 million traded on Kalshi.

The Chiefs are 6-2, the Falcons are 3-6, and the Chiefs are a 3.5-point spread favorite.

Best Spread Pick Today: Chiefs -3.5

Kansas City is 6-2 and coming off a 35-12 win over the Jets. Patrick Mahomes was a full participant in Wednesday's practice after the elbow scare in that game, which puts him on track to start in Atlanta.

The Falcons are 3-6 and have allowed 223 points in nine games, about 25 a game. Kalshi's 3.5 matches the number at sportsbooks, and the 47¢ price sits below a coin flip.

At a 47¢ average price, a $100 buy works out to roughly 213 shares, and the ticket shows an est. return of $212.77.

• If Kansas City wins by four or more: Est. return of $212.77.
• If not: the $100 stake is a total loss.

A return of roughly 2.1x for backing the better team at a price under 50¢.

Best Total Pick Today: Under 47.5

Kansas City averages 5.08 yards per carry, the best mark in the NFL, and a run-first plan keeps the clock moving. Atlanta's ground game has held up this season while its passing has lagged.

Both offenses have a run-based path, which makes 47.5 a high number for this matchup.

At a 51¢ average price, a $100 buy works out to roughly 196 shares, and the ticket shows an est. return of $196.08.

• If the game finishes with 47 or fewer total points: Est. return of $196.08.
• If not: the $100 stake is a total loss.

A return of roughly 1.96x on a total that's high for two run-friendly offenses.

Seahawks vs Raiders Prediction

Seattle is 5-4 as the reigning champs and has a bye in Week 11, so this 4:05 PM ET CBS game at Allegiant Stadium matters.

The Raiders are 4-5 with Kirk Cousins at quarterback and are coming off a 38-17 loss to San Francisco. About $2.3 million is traded here.

Best Spread Pick Today: Seahawks -6.5

Sam Darnold (quad, ribs) is out, so Drew Lock starts again after getting no injury designation on Friday. Lock is 2-0 as a starter this season and has thrown five touchdowns with no interceptions.

Seattle ran for 120 yards in last week's 17-3 win over Arizona, and Las Vegas gives up 151 rushing yards a game, the most in the NFL. Kalshi and sportsbooks share the 6.5 number.

At a 51¢ average price, a $100 buy works out to roughly 196 shares, and the ticket shows an est. return of $196.08.

• If Seattle wins by seven or more: Est. return of $196.08.
• If not: the $100 stake is a total loss.

A return of about 1.96x on a ground-based game plan against the league's weakest run defense.

Best Total Pick Today: Under 40.5

Seattle allows 155 passing yards a game, the fewest in the NFL, and held Arizona to three points last week. A Lock-led offense that leans on the run keeps the clock moving.

The Under at 51¢ is priced close to a coin flip, and 40.5 is the lowest total on the board.

At a 51¢ average price, a $100 buy works out to roughly 196 shares, and the ticket shows an est. return of $196.08.

• If the game finishes with 40 or fewer total points: Est. return of $196.08.
• If not: the $100 stake is a total loss.

A return of roughly 1.96x on the lowest total of the day.

49ers vs Cowboys Prediction

San Francisco heads to AT&T Stadium for a 4:25 PM ET game on FOX, with about $2 million traded on Kalshi.

Dallas is 4-5 but still within reach of the NFC East lead, and the 49ers are the second-biggest favorite on the board at 66%.

Best Spread Pick Today: 49ers -4.5

San Francisco is 7-1 with a +79-point differential and scored 38 on Las Vegas last week. Dallas is 4-5 and has allowed 236 points in nine games, about 26 a game.

The 4.5 spread matches the sportsbooks, and the 48¢ Yes price is slightly under even for the better team.

At a 48¢ average price, a $100 buy works out to roughly 208 shares, and the ticket shows an est. return of $208.33.

• If San Francisco wins by five or more: Est. return of $208.33.
• If not: the $100 stake is a total loss.

A return of about 2.1x for the 7-1 team against a defense that gives up points.

Best Total Pick Today: Over 55.5

Dallas has allowed 236 points in nine games and opponents convert 48.3% of their third downs against it. San Francisco's starting cornerbacks also missed back-to-back practices this week.

Both teams can put up points here, and 55.5 is the highest total on the Sunday slate, so the Over at 52¢ is paying for a real shootout.

At a 52¢ average price, a $100 buy works out to roughly 192 shares, and the ticket shows an est. return of $192.31.

• If the game finishes with 56 or more total points: Est. return of $192.31.
• If not: the $100 stake is a total loss.

A return of roughly 1.9x on the slate's biggest scoring spot.

Steelers vs Bengals Prediction

Pittsburgh and Cincinnati are both 6-2, and the winner takes sole possession of first place in the AFC North on Sunday Night Football.

Kickoff is at 8:20 PM ET on NBC at Paycor Stadium. At under $800,000 traded, this is the thinnest Kalshi market of the five.

Best Spread Pick Today: Steelers +3.5

Both teams are 6-2, and Pittsburgh won the Week 3 meeting 30-27. The Steelers are also coming off their Week 9 bye.

Cincinnati gives up 5.04 yards per carry, the worst mark in the NFL, and Pittsburgh runs at 4.89. Taking the points with that rushing edge is the case at 52¢.

At a 52¢ average price, a $100 buy works out to roughly 192 shares, and the ticket shows an est. return of $192.31.

• If Pittsburgh wins or loses by three or fewer: Est. return of $192.31.
• If not: the $100 stake is a total loss.

A return of roughly 1.9x with a full 3.5-point cushion.

Best Total Pick Today: Over 49.5

Cincinnati throws for 286 yards a game and converts 53.6% of its third downs, both league bests. Pittsburgh can run on the league's worst rush defense, which keeps its own drives alive.

The first meeting finished 30-27, and a similar game clears 49.5 with room to spare.

At a 50¢ average price, a $100 buy works out to roughly 200 shares, and the ticket shows an est. return of $200.00.

• If the game finishes with 50 or more total points: Est. return of $200.00.
• If not: the $100 stake is a total loss.

A return of exactly 2x on a total that the Week 3 meeting cleared.

What's Moving the Market: NFL Predictions on Kalshi

Prediction markets and prices can move for many reasons. Kalshi's own movement arrows show the Packers spread down two points to 53%, while the Over 41.5 in that game ticked up one point to 53%. We can't say what drove either move.

The Chiefs, 49ers, and Bengals spreads each slipped one point, and the Over 49.5 in Steelers-Bengals also dipped one point to 49%. San Francisco's moneyline rose a point to 66%, with Dallas down a point to 34%.

Line shopping matters too. Four of the five Kalshi spreads match the sportsbook numbers (Chiefs -3.5, Seahawks -6.5, 49ers -4.5, and Bengals -3.5), and the Packers are the one that differs. See how the two compare in our guide to NFL prediction markets vs. sportsbooks.

How to Trade the Best NFL Bets Today on Kalshi

Ready to get in on these NFL predictions? Here's exactly how to claim the bonus and start trading:

• Read a full Kalshi review to understand how this exchange operates.
• Follow this guide to trading on Kalshi to learn how to buy your first "Yes" or "No" contract.
• Monitor the NFL tab on Kalshi to stay ahead of live order-book movements.
• When you're ready, sign up with Kalshi promo code ACTION55, finish registration, and make your first $25 trade to get the $55 bonus.

📝 KALSHI TERMS & CONDITIONS

Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/55. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information. Not available in AZ, IL, MA, MD, MI, MT, NV, OH, and WA.

Final Thoughts: Best NFL Bets Today

Week 10 Sunday gives us five spreads and five totals. We back Green Bay, Kansas City, Seattle, and San Francisco to cover, and we take Pittsburgh with the points in the night game.

On the totals, Minnesota's slump, Kansas City's run game, and Seattle's defense point us to three Unders. San Francisco-Dallas and Pittsburgh-Cincinnati give us two Overs. That wraps our best NFL bets today. For more, check the full prediction markets hub and the latest NFL news and picks.

Kalshi Promo Code FAQs

What are the best NFL bets today?

Our 10 best NFL bets today are five spreads and five totals from Kalshi's Week 10 Sunday board: Packers -2.5, Chiefs -3.5, Seahawks -6.5, 49ers -4.5, Steelers +3.5, and the Under 41.5, Under 47.5, Under 40.5, Over 55.5, and Over 49.5.

What is the Kalshi promo code for NFL Week 10?

The Kalshi promo code is ACTION55. New users who sign up with it can trade $25 and get a $55 bonus, subject to the terms and conditions.

Which NFL games are on this Kalshi board?

The board covers Vikings vs. Packers and Chiefs vs. Falcons at 1:00 PM ET, Seahawks vs. Raiders at 4:05 PM ET, 49ers vs. Cowboys at 4:25 PM ET, and Steelers vs. Bengals at 8:20 PM ET.

Why are there no moneyline picks?

The five favorites cost between 59 and 73 cents on Kalshi, which leaves a small payout. We used spreads and totals, where the prices sit close to 50 cents.

How do Kalshi NFL spread and total contracts resolve?

Spread and total contracts resolve Yes if the stated condition is met in the final score and No if it isn't. Each share pays 1 dollar when your side wins and nothing when it doesn't.

Are Kalshi's NFL lines different from sportsbooks?

Mostly they match. Four of the five Kalshi spreads match sportsbook numbers, and the Packers at -2.5 is a point shorter than the 3.5 listed at sportsbooks earlier this week.

What does the Est. Return column in the picks table mean?

It shows an estimate of what a 100-dollar trade returns if the pick wins, including your original stake, based on the listed price. The final ticket can differ slightly.

Does this cover every NFL game on Sunday?

No. These five games are the ones we're covering, and Kalshi has markets for other NFL games and prop markets too.