The Kalshi promo code ( ACTION55) is perfect to use on Thursday Night Football in Week 8, and this Panthers vs. Packers prediction rounds up our best First TD Scorer Predictions.
- The Panthers are 3-3 and coming off a 43-13 loss to the Buccaneers, a game in which Bryce Young was sacked five times and threw two interceptions.
- The Packers are 4-3 and 2-1 at home, and they fell 20-17 to the Lions on a walk-off field goal last week.
Here are our best First TD Scorer Predictions from the best NFL prediction markets, ranked from the likeliest scorer to the longest shot.
First TD Scorer Predictions for Thursday Night Football
| 🏈 TNF Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Jacobs First TD Scorer | Yes | 15¢ | $629.20 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Chuba Hubbard First TD Scorer | Yes | 13¢ | $725.02 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Christian Watson First TD Scorer | Yes | 10¢ | $940.70 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Matthew Golden First TD Scorer | Yes | 9¢ | $1,044.55 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Tucker Kraft First TD Scorer | Yes | 8¢ | $1,174.30 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Tetairoa McMillan First TD Scorer | Yes | 6¢ | $1,457.01 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| MarShawn Lloyd First TD Scorer | Yes | 6¢ | $1,563.66 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Jalen Coker First TD Scorer | Yes | 6¢ | $1,563.66 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
Read our dedicated Kalshi review to learn more, or check out more prediction market promo codes for other platforms.
Best First TD Scorer for Panthers vs. Packers Today
Every pick below is a real trade we'd make after redeeming the Kalshi promo code ACTION55, part of our best NFL prop bets today from one of the best prediction market apps.
Only one player can cash a first touchdown ticket, so every pick is a longshot, and it pays to know the NFL matchup before you trade.
Use Kalshi promo codeACTION55 and Trade $25, Get $55!
First TD Scorer Prop – Josh Jacobs
| 🏈 TNF Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It Now |
|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Jacobs First TD Scorer | Yes | 15¢ | $629.20 | Trade it now on Kalshi! |
Josh Jacobs is the likeliest first scorer on our board, and the Packers finally have him back after he missed the first six games of the season. He scored on a 25-yard catch in his debut against the Lions, and he also punched in Green Bay's lone touchdown in last year's 16-13 loss to Carolina.
The Packers rank last in the NFL in rushing yards per game, but the Panthers have struggled badly against the run this season, which gives their goal-line back a soft spot to work with.
On the ticket itself, a $100 buy at 15¢ works out to roughly 667 shares, each worth $1 if Josh Jacobs scores the game's first touchdown. Kalshi's stated max payout of $629.20 sits a little under that raw share math because of fees and order book depth, not an error.
- If Josh Jacobs scores the game's first touchdown: this ticket returns $629.20.
- If anyone else scores first: the $100 stake is a total loss.
It's a longshot, but a return of more than 6x your stake is the kind of risk/reward that makes a first touchdown ticket worth a look.
First TD Scorer Prop – Chuba Hubbard
| 🏈 TNF Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It Now |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chuba Hubbard First TD Scorer | Yes | 13¢ | $725.02 | Trade it now on Kalshi! |
Chuba Hubbard is Carolina's lead back and the safest way to back the Panthers in this market, with four rushing touchdowns on the season. Carolina fell behind early against Tampa Bay and handed Hubbard only seven carries, so a closer game script should put him back at the center of the plan.
Green Bay has held four straight opponents to 20 points or fewer, which means the Panthers' best path to an early score may run through the ground game.
On the ticket itself, a $100 buy at 13¢ works out to roughly 769 shares, each worth $1 if Chuba Hubbard scores the game's first touchdown.
- If Chuba Hubbard scores the game's first touchdown: this ticket returns $725.02.
- If anyone else scores first: the $100 stake is a total loss.
Another longshot price, but the return here is more than 7x your stake.
First TD Scorer Prop – Christian Watson
| 🏈 TNF Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It Now |
|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Watson First TD Scorer | Yes | 10¢ | $940.70 | Trade it now on Kalshi! |
Christian Watson is second in the NFL with six receiving touchdowns, and he's the Packers' best bet to finish a drive with one big play. He also has 15 catches of 20-plus yards, a profile that cashes a first touchdown ticket on a single snap, and Carolina is playing without cornerback Jaycee Horn.
Detroit held him to five catches for 57 yards and no score last week, which sets up a bounce-back spot at a fair price. On the ticket itself, a $100 buy at 10¢ works out to roughly 1,000 shares, each worth $1 if Christian Watson scores the game's first touchdown.
- If Christian Watson scores the game's first touchdown: this ticket returns $940.70.
- If anyone else scores first: the $100 stake is a total loss.
Another longshot price, but the return here is nearly 9.5x your stake.
First TD Scorer Prop – Matthew Golden
| 🏈 TNF Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It Now |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Golden First TD Scorer | Yes | 9¢ | $1,044.55 | Trade it now on Kalshi! |
Matthew Golden had three touchdowns through the first six games and sits 10th in the league in receiving yards, giving Jordan Love one of the NFL's most productive deep-threat pairings alongside Watson.
The thing to watch is his health, because the Packers listed him as a non-participant with a shoulder and foot issue on an estimated practice report this week. Check the final injury report before kickoff, since a scratch would end this ticket before it starts.
On the ticket itself, a $100 buy at 9¢ works out to roughly 1,111 shares, each worth $1 if Matthew Golden scores the game's first touchdown.
- If Matthew Golden scores the game's first touchdown: this ticket returns $1,044.55.
- If anyone else scores first: the $100 stake is a total loss.
Another longshot price, but the return here is more than 10x your stake.
First TD Scorer Prop – Tucker Kraft
| 🏈 TNF Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It Now |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tucker Kraft First TD Scorer | Yes | 8¢ | $1,174.30 | Trade it now on Kalshi! |
Tucker Kraft scored against Detroit last week, and Love keeps going to him in key spots, including a 22-yard fourth-down conversion in that game. It's also a meaningful return, because Kraft's 2025 season ended with a torn ACL in last year's meeting with Carolina.
On the ticket itself, a $100 buy at 8¢ works out to roughly 1,250 shares, each worth $1 if Tucker Kraft scores the game's first touchdown.
- If Tucker Kraft scores the game's first touchdown: this ticket returns $1,174.30.
- If anyone else scores first: the $100 stake is a total loss.
Another longshot price, but the return here is nearly 12x your stake.
First TD Scorer Prop – Tetairoa McMillan
| 🏈 TNF Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It Now |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tetairoa McMillan First TD Scorer | Yes | 6¢ | $1,457.01 | Trade it now on Kalshi! |
Tetairoa McMillan is Carolina's top target, and the market gives him a 7% chance to get the Panthers on the board first. He managed only 40 receiving yards against Tampa Bay and 46 yards on six targets in last year's win at Lambeau, so there is room for a bigger role if Carolina scripts him early.
Green Bay is still without edge rusher Micah Parsons and Carolina is missing Taylor Moton up front, so quick throws to McMillan look like the likelier path to a Panthers score than long dropbacks.
On the ticket itself, a $100 buy at 6¢ works out to roughly 1,667 shares, each worth $1 if Tetairoa McMillan scores the game's first touchdown.
- If Tetairoa McMillan scores the game's first touchdown: this ticket returns $1,457.01.
- If anyone else scores first: the $100 stake is a total loss.
Another longshot price, but the return here is more than 14x your stake.
First TD Scorer Prop – MarShawn Lloyd
| 🏈 TNF Prediction | ����️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It Now |
|---|---|---|---|
| MarShawn Lloyd First TD Scorer | Yes | 6¢ | $1,563.66 | Trade it now on Kalshi! |
MarShawn Lloyd is a cheaper way to play a Green Bay running back if Jacobs doesn't get the first goal-line carry. He handled eight touches for 35 yards behind Jacobs last week, and with the Packers' run game still searching for traction, a short-yardage look could go either way.
Carolina's run defense has been poor, so any early goal-line chance is worth the price. On the ticket itself, a $100 buy at 6¢ works out to roughly 1,667 shares, each worth $1 if MarShawn Lloyd scores the game's first touchdown.
- If MarShawn Lloyd scores the game's first touchdown: this ticket returns $1,563.66.
- If anyone else scores first: the $100 stake is a total loss.
Another longshot price, but the return here is more than 15x your stake.
First TD Scorer Prop – Jalen Coker
| 🏈 TNF Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It Now |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Coker First TD Scorer | Yes | 6¢ | $1,563.66 | Trade it now on Kalshi! |
Jalen Coker is the deepest longshot on the Carolina side after a one-catch, nine-yard game against Tampa Bay. With Xavier Legette on injured reserve, Coker has a clear path to snaps next to McMillan, and a bounce-back game against a Packers pass rush missing Parsons is easy to picture.
On the ticket itself, a $100 buy at 6¢ works out to roughly 1,667 shares, each worth $1 if Jalen Coker scores the game's first touchdown.
- If Jalen Coker scores the game's first touchdown: this ticket returns $1,563.66.
- If anyone else scores first: the $100 stake is a total loss.
Another longshot price, but the return here is more than 15x your stake.
Panthers vs. Packers Predictions: Moneyline, Spread and Total
Before the player markets, here is where the Panthers vs. Packers predictions stand on the main game lines on Kalshi.
| 🏈 TNF Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Est. Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|
| GB ML | Yes | 65¢ | $153.85 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| CAR ML | Yes | 36¢ | $277.78 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| GB -3.5 | Yes | 51¢ | $196.08 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| CAR +3.5 (GB -3.5 NO) | No | 50¢ | $200.00 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Over 47.5 | Yes | 51¢ | $196.08 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Under 47.5 (Over NO) | No | 50¢ | $200.00 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
Green Bay is 64% to win outright, with Carolina at 36% as the road underdog.
The spread and total are both essentially coin flips, with the Packers at 51% to win by more than 3.5 points and the over at 51% on 47.5.
What's Moving the Market for First TD Scorer Predictions
Prediction markets move for many reasons. Green Bay sits at 64% to win on Kalshi, up from roughly 60% earlier this week, after Carolina's 43-13 loss to Tampa Bay, and the game market has seen about $577,000 in volume.
That helps explain why Packers players hold four of the top five spots on our First TD Scorer Predictions board: Green Bay is favored, and its skill players are in better shape than Carolina's.
Keep an eye on Matthew Golden's practice status and Carolina's offensive line, because both can move these prices before kickoff.
How to Use Kalshi Promo Code ACTION55 on These Picks
Ready to get in on these TNF best bets? Here's exactly how to claim the bonus and start trading:
- Read a comprehensive Kalshi review to understand how this exchange operates.
- Follow this guide to trading on Kalshi to learn how to buy your first "Yes" or "No" contract.
- Monitor the relevant tab on Kalshi to stay ahead of the live order book movements.
- When you're ready, sign up with Kalshi promo code ACTION55 to get started!
📝 KALSHI TERMS & CONDITIONS
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/55. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information. Not available in AZ, IL, MA, MD, MI, MT, NV, OH, and WA.
Final Thoughts: Best First TD Scorer Predictions for TNF
Green Bay looks like the better team on the board, and Josh Jacobs, Christian Watson and Matthew Golden give the Packers the strongest first touchdown cases.
Carolina still has real paths through Chuba Hubbard and Tetairoa McMillan, especially if the Panthers can keep the game close at Lambeau Field.
That wraps our Panthers vs. Packers predictions and every TNF best bets pick we'd make on the Kalshi board, so use Kalshi promo code ACTION55 to get started before kickoff.
First TD Scorer Prediction for TNF – FAQs
Who wins in the Panthers vs. Packers predictions on Kalshi? Kalshi's board favors Green Bay at 64% to win outright, with Carolina at 36%.
Who is most likely to score first in Panthers vs. Packers? Josh Jacobs has the shortest price on our board at 15 cents and a 16% chance, ahead of Chuba Hubbard at 14% and Christian Watson at 11%.
What are the best First TD Scorer Predictions for TNF? Our top plays lean on Josh Jacobs, Chuba Hubbard and Christian Watson, with longer shots like Tetairoa McMillan and Jalen Coker for bigger returns.
How do I use Kalshi promo code ACTION55? Create a Kalshi account, make a qualifying deposit, and enter code ACTION55 before you place your first trade.
How do Kalshi first touchdown contracts work? A Yes contract resolves Yes if that player scores the game's first touchdown and No if anyone else does. Each share pays $1 if it resolves in your favor and nothing if it doesn't.
What other Panthers vs. Packers markets are on Kalshi? Kalshi also has the moneyline, spread and total live for this game, so these First TD Scorer Predictions are one slice of what's tradeable.
When and where is Panthers vs. Packers on Thursday Night Football? The game is Thursday, Oct. 29, at Lambeau Field in Green Bay, and it streams on Prime Video.
