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2020 NFL Draft Odds & Prop Picks: Offense vs. Defense for Picks 21-25

2020 NFL Draft Odds & Prop Picks: Offense vs. Defense for Picks 21-25 article feature image

Photo by Joe Robbins/Getty Images. Pictured: Quarterback Jordan Love of Utah State

A robust prop market is forming for the 2020 NFL Draft, and that’s great for us.

Last year, I went 54-29 (+17.7 units) on draft props. There’s no guarantee I’ll have similar success this year, but I do like a lot of the props out there, including many of those for whether teams will draft offensive or defensive players with their first picks.

In this piece, I break down the offense-vs.-defense props for picks 21-25.

Odds as of Wednesday, April 8, and via DraftKings. Get up to a $1,000 sign-up bonus at DraftKings today or see more offers and reviews for the best online sportsbooks.

2020 NFL Draft: Philadelphia Eagles (DraftKings)

  • Offense: -182
  • Defense: +150

The Eagles have a strong offensive line, and quarterback Carson Wentz, running back Miles Sanders and tight ends Zach Ertz and Dallas Goedert are foundational pieces, but the entire wide receiver unit is a question mark.

Alshon Jeffery is 30 years old going on 45. DeSean Jackson played in just one full game last year. Greg Ward is an undrafted quarterback-turned slot receiver. And J.J. Arcega-Whiteside massively underwhelmed last year as a rookie.

The Eagles need a wide receiver, and this class just happens to be loaded at the position.

I take a “wisdom of the crowds” approach by surveying as many reputable mock drafts as possible. I find that these drafts, created by mockers with established records of success, collectively give me a good sense of the realistic range of outcomes.

In 91.7% of them, the Eagles select a wide receiver in Round 1 of the draft, most often Justin Jefferson (LSU), but a number of receivers could conceivably be taken at No. 21.

If you think the Eagles are likely to go with a wide receiver, there’s value in offense at -182, as well as receiver to be the first position they draft at -143 (DraftKings).

PICK: Offense -182: 0.5 units. Limit: -400.
PICK: Wide Receiver -143: 0.5 units. Limit: -250.
[Bet now at DraftKings. NJ, PA, IN and WV only.]

2020 NFL Draft: Minnesota Vikings

The Vikings have needs on both offense and defense: They are most commonly mocked a wide receiver or defensive back.

The issue is that the team has picks Nos. 22 & 25, so even if it does go receiver and cornerback (for instance), it’s hard project which pick it’ll use on which position.

As a result, I’m staying away from the Vikings’ offense-vs.-defense props.

2020 NFL Draft: New England Patriots (PointsBet)

  • Offense: -125
  • Defense: -106

It’s almost impossible to know what head coach and general manager Bill Belichick will do in the draft, but in 50% of expert mocks, the Patriots have selected a quarterback, usually Jordan Love (Utah State) at No. 23.

And in 66.7% of mocks, they’ve selected an offensive player.

If you think the Patriots are likely to draft a replacement for the recently departed Tom Brady, you might want to look at them to draft a quarterback at +200 (DraftKings).

PICK: Offense -125: 0.5 units. Limit: -150.
PICK: Quarterback +200: 0.5 units. Limit: +150.
[Bet now at PointsBet. NJ and IN only.]

2020 NFL Draft: New Orleans Saints (DraftKings)

  • Offense: -127
  • Defense: +104

Although some sharper drafters have the Saints going with a wide receiver at No. 24 — and that would be the general range for selecting one in this class — the Saints don’t have an obvious need at the position, given that they have Michael Thomas, just signed Emmanuel Sanders and drafted Tre’Quan Smith with a third-round pick two years ago.

But the Saints could use some defensive help, especially at linebacker and in the secondary.

In 66.7% of expert mocks, the Saints draft either linebacker Patrick Queen (LSU) or a defensive back.

PICK: Defense +104: One unit. Limit: -150.
[Bet now at DraftKings. NJ, PA, IN and WV only.]

2020 NFL Draft: Minnesota Vikings

Because the Vikings have picks Nos. 22 & 25, I’m staying away from their props.

More 2020 NFL Draft Betting Picks

Matthew Freedman is the Editor-in-Chief of FantasyLabs, part of The Action Network.

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