Projected 2020 NFL Playoffs: The 14 Teams Our Sims Like to Make Extended AFC & NFC Brackets

Projected 2020 NFL Playoffs: The 14 Teams Our Sims Like to Make Extended AFC & NFC Brackets article feature image
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Photo by Rob Carr/Getty Images. Pictured: Rashad Fenton #27 of the Kansas City Chiefs celebrates after Kendall Fuller #29 intercepted a pass from Jimmy Garoppolo #10 of the San Francisco 49ers during the fourth quarter in Super Bowl LIV

NFL owners have voted in favor of adding a seventh playoff team to each conference, starting with the 2020 season.

With extra postseason berths now available, we turned to our model — which simulates the season 10,000 times — to determine the most likely playoff teams.

Below you’ll find our projected 1-7 seeds for both conferences as well as their average wins, chances to make the playoffs, chances to win Super Bowl 54 and more.

Jump to: Playoff Projections for All 32 Teams

Projected 2020 NFL Playoffs

To project the top-four seeds of each conference, we ranked the teams with the best chance to win their division by their chances to secure the 1-4 seeds. To project the final three seeds for each conference, we ranked the teams with the next-highest playoff chances based on highest average wins.

Projected AFC Playoff Teams

1. Kansas City Chiefs

  • Projected wins: 10.87
  • Chance to make the playoffs: 90.96%
  • Chance to win the Super Bowl: 17.67%

2. Baltimore Ravens

  • Projected wins: 10.7
  • Chance to make the playoffs: 88.18%
  • Chance to win the Super Bowl: 15.66%

3. Indianapolis Colts

  • Projected wins: 9.54
  • Chance to make the playoffs: 73.51%
  • Chance to win the Super Bowl: 5.38%

4. Buffalo Bills

  • Projected wins: 8.23
  • Chance to make the playoffs: 52.69%
  • Chance to win the Super Bowl: 2.05%
Josh Allen
Getty Images. Pictured: Josh Allen

5. Pittsburgh Steelers

  • Projected wins: 9.31
  • Chance to make the playoffs: 67.07%
  • Chance to win the Super Bowl: 4.26%

6. Tennessee Titans

  • Projected wins: 8.92
  • Chance to make the playoffs: 61.99%
  • Chance to win the Super Bowl: 3.43%

7. Los Angeles Chargers

  • Projected wins: 8.11
  • Chance to make the playoffs: 45.16%
  • Chance to win the Super Bowl: 1.26%

Projected NFC Playoff Teams

1. San Francisco 49ers

  • Projected wins: 10.18
  • Chance to make the playoffs: 79.32%
  • Chance to win the Super Bowl: 10.5%

2. New Orleans Saints

  • Projected wins: 9.98
  • Chance to make the playoffs: 77.34%
  • Chance to win the Super Bowl: 10.34%

3. Dallas Cowboys

  • Projected wins: 9.43
  • Chance to make the playoffs: 72.43%
  • Chance to win the Super Bowl: 6.28%

4. Minnesota Vikings

  • Projected wins: 8.67
  • Chance to make the playoffs: 54.79%
  • Chance to win the Super Bowl: 2.91%

5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

  • Projected wins: 9.16
  • Chance to make the playoffs: 62.95%
  • Chance to win the Super Bowl: 3.91%

6. Green Bay Packers

  • Projected wins: 8.35
  • Chance to make the playoffs: 48.86%
  • Chance to win the Super Bowl: 1.97%

7. Philadelphia Eagles

  • Projected wins: 8.19
  • Chance to make the playoffs: 47.47%
  • Chance to win the Super Bowl: 2.25%


2020 NFL Playoff Projections For All 32 Teams

Here’s the full rundown of projected wins, playoff percentages, chances to win Super Bowl 55 and more for all 32 NFL teams.