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2022 NFL Draft Props: Expert Likes This Garrett Wilson Bet Based On Mock Draft Predictions

2022 NFL Draft Props: Expert Likes This Garrett Wilson Bet Based On Mock Draft Predictions article feature image

Getty Images. Pictured: Garrett Wilson

Sean Koerner, our Director of Predictive Analytics, finished with the eighth-most accurate mock draft in 2021 (per FantasyPros). He’s back with his first-round predictions for the 2022 NFL Draft as well as his favorite bet among the props available.

2022 NFL Draft Props

Garrett Wilson Draft Position Over 9.5 (+104)

The first real chance of Garrett Wilson’s name getting called is by the Falcons with the eighth overall pick.

They’re -125 to target a wide receiver at FanDuel, where Wilson is the favorite to be the first WR off the board (-160) as of writing. However, neither of those bets are slam dunks as there’s a ton of uncertainty as to when Wilson, Drake London and Jameson Williams will be drafted.

FanDuel has Wilson at +300 odds to be the No. 8 pick (bet $100 to win $300). Those odds sound about right when you factor in the uncertainty of which position the Falcons will target and what order the top three WRs will be selected (though I agree that Wilson is the most likely player the Falcons will draft).

Betting the over on Wilson’s draft position essentially buys into that uncertainty.

The Seahawks draft at No. 9, and the last need they have right now is wide receiver. So if the Falcons don’t take Wilson, this prop will likely hit. Wilson will likely be drafted at either Nos. 8, 10 or 11.

I would make the odds of over 9.5 around 60%.

2022 NFL Mock Draft

The above embed features color coding based on Koerner’s projected chances of each player being the respective pick:

  • Green = 20%+ projected chance
  • Yellow = Wide range of outcomes for pick
  • Purple = Projected WR picks, order arguably interchangeable

And here are the results again in a more mobile-friendly table:

Pick Team Player
1 Jaguars Travon Walker, EDGE, Georgia
2 Lions Aidan Hutchinson, EDGE, Michigan
3 Texans Derek Stingley, CB, LSU
4 Jets Ahmad Gardner, CB, Cincinnati
5 Giants Charles Cross, OT, Miss St.
6 Panthers Ikem Ekwonu, OT, NC State
7 Giants Kayvon Thibodeaux, EDGE, Oregon
8 Falcons Garrett Wilson, WR, Ohio St.
9 Seahawks Evan Neal, OT, Alabama
10 Jets Drake London, WR, USC
11 Football Team Jameson Williams, WR, Alabama
12 Vikings Kyle Hamilton, S, Notre Dame
13 Texans Jermaine Johnson, EDGE, Houston
14 Ravens Jordan Davis, DL, Georgia
15 Eagles Trent McDuffie, CB, Washington
16 Saints Chris Olave, WR, Ohio St.
17 Chargers Trevor Penning, OT, Northern Iowa
18 Eagles George Karlaftis, EDGE, Purdue
19 Saints Kenny Pickett, QB, Pittsburgh
20 Steelers Malik Willis, QB, Liberty
21 Patriots Devin Lloyd, LB, Utah
22 Packers Treylon Burks, WR, Arkansas
23 Cardinals Zion Johnson, IOL, Boston College
24 Cowboys Kenyon Green, IOL, Texas A&M
25 Bills Kaiir Elam, CB, Florida
26 Titans Tyler Linderbaum, IOL, Iowa
27 Buccaneers Andrew Booth Jr., CB, Clemson
28 Packers Quay Walker, LB, Georgia
29 Chiefs Jahan Dotson, WR, Penn St.
30 Chiefs Devonte Wyatt, DL, Georgia
31 Bengals Tyler Smith, OL, Tusla
32 Lions Nakobe Dean, LB, Georgia
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